I\'ve been waiting to pull the trigger here, odds keep rising all morning and at this point represent enough value to give this pick. Mura and Celje started post corona season in great fashion. Home team won first match against Aluminij, qualified for Slovenian cup final and won last match against Tabor. They scored 10 goals in those 3 games and received 3 goals. But watching semifinal of Slovenian cup, things could go differently, Aluminij created a lot of chances but weren\'t clinical in last stage of their attacks.
Celje on the other side continues with great form and unbeaten run of 9 games. Two wins in last two games without conceding but they were very lucky not to receive. Watching both their games it\'s almost a miracle they survived with clean sheet. Defensively they were awful in 1st half against Rudar and in 2nd half against Olimpija.

Both teams are healthy and very confident the only concern I have is weather and pitch in Murska Sobota which is usually in terrible state after few rainy days. No rain expected for the duration of the game and I believe we\'re going to see a good game from two Slovenian teams that are showing great form in this »post Corona« season.

Let\'s not over complicate things that are simple. Tabor is a team that was promoted to 1.SNL last year and so far they were playing surprisingly good, especially at home turf. But the reality is that they didn\'t show anything in two friendly matches played last week, against two teams from 2.SNL. Not only that, they received 9 goals combined! They could surprise Olimpija here if »Zmaji« decide to underestimate them, but with Rudonja returning as Director of Football and promise from president Mandarić to bring some quality new faces in if they win the league, I expect very focused approach, dominating the game whole 90 mins, holding the ball and creating chances. Just as comparison – Olimpija and Tabor both played ND Gorica in last week – Olimpija won 2:0 in Ljubljana and Tabor lost 4:1 in Nova Gorica.
Football surprises us sometimes but current odds still represent value in my eyes and I expect them to drop even further in coming days.

First game for Triglav since the break, today they will play two halfs with different lineups and without Majcen. Olimpija won first friendly three days ago against solid Aluminij and I expect them to dominate today.

No matter from what angle I look at this match, I always come to the same conclusion - this match should have goals.

I\'m sure Domzale will go for a win. Ibricic is back and they will be super motivated to get all 3 points and
end this miserable form and get some positive momentum for rest of the season. Defender Ilic is out and that is a huge blow
for them.

Aluminij on the other side are not as solid as they used to be before they sold Petrovic. On top of that they will miss Matjasic
who scored against Olimpija and Kontek.

When I look at this match I see super motivated Domžale against vulnerable Aluminij. You would have to go way back in September
to find a match where Domzale didn\'t score and I don\'t think this run will end here. Aluminij on the other side still have enough
power (Zivkovic, Leko and Stor) to score a goal or two here, considering the absence of experienced defender Ilic. Last mutual match
in Kidricevo ended 4-2.

Over 2.5 is priced at around 1.9, which is too much in my opinion - true odds 1.7 - 1.75.

Tabor will host Triglav today in Stadion Rajko Štolfa in Sežana. It should be an entertaining match since this two teams are the biggest surprise of this spring season.
Sežana lost their top goalscorer but brought many new players (foreigners mostly) and a new coach in January - the famous ex-Juventus player and World Champion with Italy in 2006, Mauro Camoranesi.
Their game improved, they are much more stable at the moment and you can tell that from their results - won 2-1 against Domžale (being 0-1 behind), draw to Maribor (had some chances on counters) and a defeat against Bravo (last minutes of the game).
Triglav on the other side also brought many players in winter break and they are all playing and not only that - scoring and assisting as well! Coach Šmit really doesn\\\'t have any worries at the moment, Triglav is scoring without a problem, has the longest
list of scorers in the league and obviously did some improvements defensively since they only received one goal in last 3 games. Triglav\\\'s top scorer and captain Majcen will return today, after 6 games ban and this should be a great addition to the team.

I see this game as an opportunity for both teams to continue their good form. Hard to say who will win at the end but I am almost certain we should see goal(s) from both teams.
Weather in Sežana is good today, no strong winds and I think we\\\'re going to see a real fight for 3 points.
Pinnacle opened Over/Under 2.5 line at 1.68 and it\\\'s at 1.90 now which is in my opinion too much. In my book odds should be around 1.75-1.80. Enough value to pull the trigger.