 |
21.01 |
Hugo Dellien - Igor Marcondes |
|
Full Event Away (ATP Challenger Itajai - R16) (ML) |
2.33 |
2 |
 |
2.66 |
 |
25.01 17:16 |
|
20.01 |
Orlando Luz - Pedro Sakamoto |
info, double stake |
Pedro Sakamoto win |
1.671 |
4 |
|
2.68 |
|
25.01 16:18 |
|
20.01 |
Henrique Rocha - Leandro Riedi |
|
Henrique Rocha (To Win Match) |
3 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
25.01 17:12 |
|
19.01 |
Tereza Valentova - Maya Joint |
Hey everyone!
Let\'s see what you think of my new movie XD
The market considers her a slightly less favored player, but based on her ranking, titles, WTA experience, and overall potential, Joint shouldn\'t be below 50%.
The market clearly tends to overvalue teenage players in the early rounds.
Personally, I see it as more of a 50/50 match, and I\'d even say Joint is the favorite.
Valentova is playing at home, and in the first round, that could even create some pressure. I really think this price of 2.20 will drop between now and match day.
I\'m setting a stake of 1 because I don\'t see Joint as having an overwhelming advantage, but the 2.20 doesn\'t make sense.
Let\'s go for it! |
Maya win |
2.2 |
1 |
|
-1 |
|
25.01 17:04 |
|
19.01 |
Anna Kalinskaya - Sonay Kartal |
Hello everyone 🙂
This is a clear opening odds error. Anna is superior in every way. Hard courts are her best, and she\'s ranked 33rd to Kartal\'s 63rd. She\'s aggressive yet disciplined, has good tactical awareness, and is solid against the rest of the team.
Clear favorite: Kalinskaya. Kartal is competitive, but she needs our teammate to have an bad day. |
Anna Kalinskaya (To Win Match) |
1.9 |
2 |
|
1.8 |
|
25.01 17:05 |
|
19.01 |
Hugo Dellien - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida |
Dellien has won both matches. Hugo is currently ranked 137th, compared to Almeida\'s 295th. Our player has much more experience, especially on clay, where he has historically had a higher winning percentage.
Almeida has less experience overall and tends to be more inconsistent, particularly against solid clay-court players. I estimate our player\'s chances of winning to be around 65%, and I think that\'s a good price to pay for our popcorn and a movie night. |
Hugo Dellien (To Win Match) |
1.72 |
2 |
|
1.44 |
|
25.01 17:13 |
|
19.01 |
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo |
Joao is almost 100 places higher in the ranking and shows much greater consistency.
They did play once before and Nikolas won, but that match was back in 2020, at ITF level, in a completely different context compared to today.
Since then, Joao has won several titles, while Nikolas hasn’t won any.
Joao has also competed in Grand Slam events, which gives him better pressure management and experience at a higher level.
On top of that, Joao has better results on clay than Nikolas, and overall, the story has changed a lot since 2020. |
joao win |
1.83 |
2 |
|
-2 |
|
25.01 17:14 |
|
19.01 |
Stefan Kozlov - Mikhail Kukushkin |
Basically, we’re entering because of the odds movement. At the opening, the value was on Stefan, but so much money has come in that the value has shifted to Kuku. It makes no sense to have this at 1.80 — they’ve pushed the odds up from 1.50 to 1.80. The fair odds should be around 1.65 at most, so we have some margin there to generate value for our bankroll. |
Full Event Away (ATP Challenger Oeiras - Qualifiers) (ML) |
1.793 |
2 |
|
-2 |
|
25.01 17:15 |
|
18.01 |
Tereza Valentova - Maya Joint |
I\'m placing another stake of 1 because they\'re losing their minds. I don\'t see that much difference between these two at all; like I said, I even see her as a slight favorite. She could lose, of course... but don\'t put her at 3.10 because you\'ll make me buy in again. |
Full Event Away (W Aussie R1) (ML) |
3.12 |
1 |
|
-1 |
|
25.01 17:06 |
|
18.01 |
Max Wiskandt - Thijs Boogaard |
Wiskandt is almost 800 spots higher in the ranking, with much more experience and better performance on hard courts.
Boogaard is only 17 years old and is behind in everything — fewer aces, lower first-serve %, fewer service breaks, and even 200 fewer matches played than Wiskandt.
In my opinion, this is a clear opportunity to go catch some Pokémon with these odds. |
Max Wiskandt (To Win Match) |
1.83 |
2 |
|
-2 |
|
25.01 17:09 |
|
16.01 |
Franco Agamenone - Murkel Dellien |
How are you, dear friends? Everyone\'s supporting Murkel, but in my opinion, Agamenone has a better chance of winning, around 60%. Murkel barely scraped through to the semi-finals, winning all their matches 2-1 and struggling, while Franco cruised through like a Marquis. I see him as much more consistent, and his first serve is stronger than Dellien\'s. So I think the real value lies here. |
franco win |
1.952 |
2 |
|
1.9 |
|
25.01 17:07 |
|
14.01 |
Salisbury J / Skupski N - Harrison C / King E |
The real value lies in backing Harrison and King to win, with odds close to 3. Still, in this prediction, we’re going for the more attractive bet that they’ll take at least one set. They’ve done so every time they’ve faced this duo, and back then Salisbury and Skupski actually had something at stake unlike now, when their minds are probably already on the semifinals. |
yes (Harrison C / King E to win a set) |
1.7 |
2 |
|
-2 |
 |
25.01 15:41 |
|
14.01 |
Victoria Mboko - Anna Kalinskaya |
Hi 🙂 Here\'s another movie recommendation for the wee hours of the morning.
Mboko is the clear favorite, especially given her performance on hard courts and her dominance in their only previous encounter. Her percentages reflect better form compared to Kalinskaya.
Her form in 2025, higher ranking, and direct match against Kalinskaya on hard courts put her in a stronger position to advance.
Solid and aggressive serve, especially on key points. Powerful baseline game, with flat shots that pressure and dominate. Winning mentality after notable victories in 2025. Hard court adaptation: Very good, with better percentages and performance than Kalinskaya on this surface. |
mboko win |
1.8 |
2 |
|
1.6 |
|
25.01 17:00 |
|
14.01 |
Remy Bertola - Mikhail Kukushkin |
Hey guys, what\'s up? I won\'t go on too long, it\'s a 50/50 match. Besides, if it goes on too long, Kukushkin is almost 40 and he\'s going to feel it.
Bertola is almost 50 places higher in the rankings and has been playing well in recent matches.
There\'s money to be made here, whether the bet is successful or not, we know how this works, but there\'s money to be made here, at this price, we have to play as if we were using the Nintendo 64. |
Rmy win |
2.75 |
2 |
|
-2 |
|
25.01 17:01 |
|
14.01 |
Pedro Boscardin Dias - Juan Estevez |
Hi 🙂 Pedro is 200 places ahead in the ranking, they have played 2 full matches, Pedro has won both, this odds are due to Juan coming from winning all the matches, but all the matches have been against my father, let\'s see how he does this one since my father is on vacation. He\'s playing at home and Juan might be more motivated, but let\'s face it, the difference in level between the two is clear. |
Full Event Home (ATP Challenger Buenos Aires - R16) (ML) |
1.917 |
2 |
|
1.83 |
|
25.01 17:03 |
|
13.01 |
Maya Joint - Sofia Kenin |
Joint is one of the young players with the strongest upward progression on the tour and already has solid experience at top-level tournaments. Kenin has been world No. 4 and is a Grand Slam champion (Australian Open 2020), but her recent form has been somewhat inconsistent. The head-to-head record stands at 2–0 in favor of Maya Joint, with both previous meetings played on hard courts and both won by Joint with identical 6–3, 6–1 scorelines. From a tactical perspective, Joint holds a clear advantage from the baseline, showing better first-serve effectiveness and superior break-point conversion in their direct encounters. She also commits fewer double faults and applies constant pressure on her opponent’s second serve, which has been a key factor in her dominance in this matchup. |
Full Event Home (WTA Adelaide - R1) (ML) |
1.793 |
2 |
|
1.59 |
|
25.01 16:58 |
|
13.01 |
Maya Joint - Sofia Kenin |
Joint is one of the young players with the strongest upward progression on the tour and already has solid experience at top-level tournaments. Kenin has been world No. 4 and is a Grand Slam champion (Australian Open 2020), but her recent form has been somewhat inconsistent. The head-to-head record stands at 2–0 in favor of Maya Joint, with both previous meetings played on hard courts and both won by Joint with identical 6–3, 6–1 scorelines. From a tactical perspective, Joint holds a clear advantage from the baseline, showing better first-serve effectiveness and superior break-point conversion in their direct encounters. She also commits fewer double faults and applies constant pressure on her opponent’s second serve, which has been a key factor in her dominance in this matchup. |
Full Event Home (WTA Adelaide - R1) (ML) |
1.793 |
2 |
|
1.59 |
|
25.01 16:59 |
|
13.01 |
Lucia Bronzetti - Mary Stoiana |
I\'ll tell you my perspective and see what you think. Lucia is much better than Stoiana, but why these odds? Because Lucia has been playing her last few matches from home on her PS5. Stoiana is basically an ITF player. Is she good? Yes, but she\'s at a much lower level, and Lucia needs to take advantage of that.
So, we\'re using her recent losses to grab these great odds at our beloved Pinnacle |
Full Event Home (W Aussie Q) (ML) |
1.961 |
2 |
|
1.92 |
|
25.01 17:02 |
|
12.01 |
Uchiyama, Yasutaka - Wu, Tung-Lin |
Hi everyone, I\'d like to explain my thoughts. Yasu has beaten Wu in their last 3 matches., is over 70 places higher in the rankings, and in my opinion, he\'s the favorite in tennis right now.
I think the odds don\'t reflect this, which is why I\'m backing him. |
Uchiyama, Yasutaka (Winner) |
1.99 |
2 |
|
1.98 |
|
25.01 16:55 |
|
12.01 |
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Vilius Gaubas |
I don\\\'t understand these odds for this match at all. He\\\'s almost 600 points ahead in the rankings, they played in the Rome 2 Challenger and Gaubas easily beat him 2-0. I\\\'d stake more, but since I don\\\'t know if there\\\'s any information or data I\\\'ve overlooked, let\\\'s go with these two picks at a normal stake. |
Vilius Gaubas (To Win Match) |
2 |
2 |
|
2 |
|
25.01 16:55 |
|
12.01 |
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Vilius Gaubas |
I don\'t understand these odds for this match at all. He\'s almost 600 points ahead in the rankings, they played in the Rome 2 Challenger and Gaubas easily beat him 2-0. I\'d stake more, but since I don\'t know if there\'s any information or data I\'ve overlooked, let\'s go with these two picks at a normal stake. |
Vilius Gaubas 2-0 (Set Betting) |
3.5 |
1 |
|
2.5 |
|
25.01 16:56 |
|
12.01 |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Henry Bernet |
ATP ranking: Llamas is ranked 211 while Bernet is 510, so there is a clear gap.
Over the long term, Llamas is the better player overall. He is much more used to playing under pressure and handling tough moments in matches. His level of experience on the professional tour is significantly higher than Bernet’s.
On hard courts, Llamas has historically been more consistent. He also performs better in key moments, with stronger numbers on first-serve points won, sets won and general match control.
Conclusion: Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the clear statistical and market favorite. The match may have some tight moments, but his advantage in experience and consistency should make the difference. |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (To Win Match) |
1.8 |
2 |
|
1.6 |
|
25.01 16:57 |
|
08.01 |
Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang |
Sonego — Experience, strong break-point defense, and a more stable career track record.
He is also performing better this year in terms of win percentage.
Sonego rank: #39
Shang rank: #255
I’m placing stake 1 because I’m playing this purely based on line movement value, but I believe this is a spot that can be profitable in the long run |
lorenzo win |
2.35 |
1 |
|
-1 |
|
25.01 16:49 |
|
08.01 |
Timofey Skatov (Games) - Jonas Forejtek (Games) |
Timofey Skatov (Kazakhstan) comes into this match with a higher ATP ranking and better current form.
Head-to-head: July 5, 2024 – Skatov defeated Forejtek 6-3, 6-3 at the Troyes Challenger.
This price has value and is likely to shorten between now and match time, so taking it early provides a clear advantage. |
Full Event Home (ATP Challenger Bengaluru - QF) -0.50 |
1.952 |
2 |
|
1.9 |
|
25.01 16:50 |
|
08.01 |
Tomas Barrios Vera - James McCabe |
McCabe leads the head-to-head 1–0. (McCabe win 4-6, 6-3, 7-6, 7-6) Wimbledon 2025
McCabe tends to hit many aces and win quick points on serve.
Barrios Vera produces fewer aces and fewer free points.
At this moment, I see McCabe as the favorite |
james win |
1.952 |
2 |
|
1.9 |
|
25.01 16:51 |
|
08.01 |
Arthur Gea - Liam Draxl |
Everyone\'s backing Liam, but there are several factors: Gea starts very strong. Percentage of first sets won (on hard courts): Gea: 75% Draxl: 62% Here, Gea has a structural advantage. Draxl doesn\'t have a very reliable second serve. Gea punishes second serves a lot. On hard courts, every break usually comes from the second serve. Yes, Draxl is ranked higher. But be aware: Draxl has accumulated a lot of points indoors/university/on slower courts. Gea is on the rise, with better recent numbers on outdoor hard courts |
Arthur win First Set |
1.884 |
2 |
|
1.77 |
|
25.01 16:53 |
|
08.01 |
Filip Cristian Jianu - Miha Vetrih |
|
Filip Cristian Jianu -6.5 (Match Handicap (games) |
1.9 |
2 |
|
1.8 |
|
25.01 16:54 |
|
07.01 |
Sumit Nagal - Harold Mayot |
Not much to say, Mayot leads 2-0 in the previous match, which went to 6-2, 6-2.
Better form, better rhythm, better streak.
Sumit ranks #275 against Harold\'s #167. |
Harold win |
1.83 |
2 |
|
1.66 |
|
25.01 16:47 |
|
07.01 |
Alexander Ritschard - Charles Broom |
I\'m not going to spend much, but it\'s more of the same: poorly placed odds that are just going to keep dropping.
These odds for this match make no sense. Whether it happens or not, we all know how this works, but there\'s money to be made here.
|
charles win |
2.62 |
2 |
|
3.24 |
|
25.01 16:48 |
|
06.01 |
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Max Houkes |
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe: 35 years Ranking #347 |||||||| Max Houkes: 25 years Ranking #247 (Service and play from the back are somewhat better in some aspects) |
max win |
2.75 |
2 |
|
-2 |
|
25.01 16:36 |
|
06.01 |
Roberto Carballes Baena - Colton Smith |
Carballés Baena is higher ranked overall (#129) and has significantly more experience in ATP and Challenger-level tournaments.
Smith is younger and still in the process of building competitive rhythm at this level.
Carballés Baena has a proven track record in long matches and tends to perform well in high-pressure situations.
Smith, with less experience, can show high peaks in performance but also the typical inconsistencies of younger players. |
Roberto Carballes Baena (To Win Match) |
2.5 |
2 |
|
3 |
|
25.01 16:42 |
|
06.01 |
Hyeon Chung - Florent Bax |
Bax has shown better performance in his last 10 matches.
Chung has alternated between wins and losses, and his recent form has not been very stable.
Bax is three years younger and currently holds a higher ATP ranking.
Recent form:
Chung: Irregular / average
Bax: More consistent |
florent win |
2.62 |
2 |
|
3.24 |
|
25.01 16:46 |
|
05.01 |
Nick Kyrgios - Aleksandar Kovacevic |
Nick Kyrgios has had very little competitive activity in recent years due to injuries; for example, in 2025 he played only a few matches on the ATP Tour and has clearly been out of rhythm. He himself has acknowledged that his main goal now is to enjoy tennis and regain match sharpness rather than compete for titles or rankings.
Kovacevic, as a solid top-100 player, has had a much more regular and consistent 2025 season compared to Kyrgios, which is reflected in his higher ranking and superior competitive rhythm. |
Full Event Away (ATP Brisbane - R1) |
1.636 |
2 |
|
1.27 |
|
25.01 16:33 |
