 |
30.11 |
Real Sociedad v Villarreal |
Sociedad got only 1 win in first 9 league matches but after they won 3 of last 4. Osasuna, Bilbao and Sevilla all are same level teams. It is also becaues they finally give more minutes to Brais and Guedes. However, Oyarzabal is out today. I think Sociedad is almost %60 with Oyarzabal. They look unorganized when he doesn\'t play.
Villarreal lost only 2/13 league matches despite bad record at Champions League 1D and lost all 4. They rested some players in midweek even.. It looks like they already gave up to give max effort at Europe.
Villarreal offensive power deserve to be favourite on this match.
It was btts pick for me in midweek but after Oyarzabal is out i\'m %60 on Villarreal side. |
Villarreal AH 0 |
1.84 |
2 |
 |
1.68 |
 |
30.11 13:03 |
 |
30.11 |
Karagumruk v Besiktas |
Karagumruk is ranking last but there are some good momentum recently. They got 6 points on last 4, also scored in last 4 of 5. Onur Can Korkmaz took charge as manager recently.
Besiktas is having chaotic season. Team legendary Sergen Yalcin also could not stop bad streak. 6W-3D-4L results in 13 matches are bad for a team which targets Top-3.
Team playmaker Rafa Silva had problem with manager Yalcin and declares won\'t play anymore. Striker Tony Abraham will start from bench to change tactics.
Karagumruk can benefit counter attack football today, they won\'t be very easy bite. |
both teams to score |
1.65 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
30.11 14:12 |
 |
30.11 |
Pisa v Inter |
Inter lost Milano derby when their best player and kicker Calhanoglu missed penalty. After that they lost to Atl Madrid in midweek by last minute goal. Time to wake up and show reaction.
Pisa conceded 90+5 goal vs Sassuolo and got draw. They are without a defeat on last 6, but got 5 draws.
Inter needs convincing victory today, they can score at both halves even easily. |
Inter -1.5 |
1.9 |
2 |
 |
1.8 |
 |
30.11 14:14 |
 |
30.11 |
Girona v Real Madrid |
Thanks to their El Classico victory, Real Madrid is still league leader despite 2 draws on last 2. They got 4-3 victory in Greece in midweek. No problem for scoring, only team struggle when Bellingham plays. Bellingham - Mbappe- Vinicius are hard to manage all together and it seems to me Bellingham is too selfish. Playmaker Arda Guler creates more xG and give better goal chances to Mbappe and Vinicius.
Girona is at the bottom of league, 2W-5D-6L. They always struggle vs Real Madrid, 0-3 , 0-3, 4-2, 1-3 and 1-4 are last 5 matches when they hosted Real.
It can start controversial topics over Alonso if they can\'t win 3 matches in a row. |
Real Madrid -1.25 |
1.94 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
30.11 14:15 |
 |
30.11 |
Arsenal v Chelsea |
Match of the day in UK. Both are in good form, Chelsea beaten Barcelona 3-0 while Arsenal beaten Bayern Munich 3-1 at Champions League in midweek. Same conditions for match fixture.
Cole Palmer is still out for home team as important missing while Arsenal is missing Viktor Gyökeres, Gabriel , Havertz as long term for key missings.
Desptie 3rd ranking for Chelsea, they are 13th for home standings and lost Sunderland and Brighton at home.
Arteta has created title deserved team, became very elite team. Arteta team scored 2 or moe goals on last 6.
Arsenal lost only 3 London derbies on last 40 meetings.
Chelsea has only 1 victory against Arsenal on last 11 Premier League meetings.
Arsenal conceded more than 1 goal only in 1 match on last 14 matches, it was Bournemouth in 3 May. Opponents struggle to score against Arsenal obviously. |
Chelsea AH 0 |
1.65 |
2 |
 |
0 |
 |
30.11 14:16 |
 |
29.11 |
Parma v Udinese |
Pama got very important Verona victory after AC Milan draw. These 2 results direclty shorted their odds today. That i don\'t agree.
Udinese has lost last 2 Roma and Bologna, i think both were solid and can be understandable. It is also their reason higher odds.
Parma is more suitable opponent for Udinese to take 3 points. Udinese is unbeaten against teams starting this round below them 3W-3D.
|
Udinese AH 0 |
2.03 |
1 |
 |
1.03 |
 |
29.11 12:32 |
 |
29.11 |
Trabzonspor v Konyaspor |
Trabzonspor got last moment victory by long shot against Basaksehir. It was expected low scoring game but finished 3-4. Trabzonspor is trailing Top-3 this season. They perform well imo. Team forward Visca broken leg on last match but i think he is not at good level anymore.. It can be better for team as it was problem to bench him.
Fenerbahce will host Galatasaray as the hottest derby of country on Monday. Therefore, It is must 3 points match for Trabzonspor if they want Top-3 ranking.
Konyaspor have some internal problems, 3 players out of team after betting scandal. Ndao and center back Demirbag were key players. They appointed Cagdas Atan who is having poor manager career as he sacked from Basaksehir this season. They lost to KAragumruk which iis one of the weakest team of league.
Onuachu can score while their best defender is out and Trabzonspor can win. |
Trabzonspor -0.75 |
1.7 |
2 |
 |
1.4 |
 |
29.11 17:27 |
 |
29.11 |
AC Milan v Lazio |
Milan is coming off derby victory which GK Maignan saved Calhanoglu penalty and Pulisic goal. They started to show big edge on derbies, good match to keep momentum up. They can be league leader while 1st Roma will host 3rd Napoli tomorrow.
Lazio got comfortable win over Lecce which we also had -0.75 AH Pick on them. They play goot at home but they struggle in all away matches. |
AC Milan -0.75 |
1.88 |
2 |
 |
0.88 |
 |
29.11 17:27 |
 |
29.11 |
Atl Madrid v Oviedo |
t looks like very easy spot for Atl Madrid but they may be stresfull as they will meet with Barcelona in midweek. It will be Top fight for a season. More likely low pace by Diego Simeone to make active resting during match.
Oviedo is so far not for La Liga level. They fight good, but more likely relegation team.
Atl Madrid can keep clean sheet today.
|
Oviedo under 0.5 |
1.75 |
1 |
 |
0.75 |
 |
29.11 17:28 |
 |
27.11 |
AS Roma v Midstjyyland |
It was good away win for Roma after losing 2 matches at Europa League. They are on good streak at league. Gasperini shows his talent after long years Atalanta adventure which they had many high scoring matches at Europe.
Danish team plays very well at Europe. They won all 4, scored 11 including away win vs Nottingham in UK. I don\' think they can stay silent today.
|
both teams to score |
1.87 |
2 |
 |
1.74 |
 |
27.11 18:25 |
 |
27.11 |
Nott forest v Malmo |
Sweden season is over, its the first fact for Malmo. 2nd, Malmo is having internal problems with president, manager and many players.
Manager Mravac is counting days to join Middlesbrough. Several key players like Rosengren, Sigurdsson, Lajqi and Botheim are out due to broken leg. Christiansen is questionable but not %100 fit for sure.
Forest did terrible start to season but started to got good results since Sean Dyche took charge. They beaten Liverpool recently. It can be match to climb upper ranking easily with goal average. |
Nott Forest -1.75 |
1.87 |
2 |
 |
1.74 |
 |
27.11 18:25 |
 |
27.11 |
Rangers v Braga |
Rangers had easy win vs Dundee FC before international break. After, they had hard times vs Livingston. They are one of the team affected badly during break. They gave high goal chances even in Scotland with xGa 1.76 per match. They are ranking almost at the bottom of Europa League.
Braga is having high scoring matches.3 victories on last 4 + 9 points in 4 is also reasonable fair. They have Elo Rating to finish group session in first-8.
Rangers is trying to jump back while Braga offensive finds it easy to score. I like btts. |
both teams to score |
1.77 |
1 |
 |
0.77 |
 |
27.11 18:26 |
 |
27.11 |
Fiorentina v AEK Athens |
There are still crisis on Fio and we lost also some picks because of them. Bad results were obvious + many experienced players firstly Edin Dzeko started to critics about their game plan. As expected they sacked manager and Paolo Vanoli took charge. He got 2 draw so far.
It was good they did came back vs Juve and got 1 point. They need clear victory to bring new hope or momentum.
AEK got unexpected home draw vs Shamrock after Aberdeen victory. They lost their only away match to Celje in Slovenia, comparing to Fio a lot weaker. I think they are fragile to play Italian away match.
IT looks good setup for first win for Vanoli.
|
Fiorentina |
1.83 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
27.11 18:26 |
 |
26.11 |
PSG v Tottenham |
It will be their 2nd meeting this season after UEFA Super Cup final in 13 August when it finished 2-2 at 90 minutes. PSG got it after penalties.
PSG finally lost at Champions League, 1-2 home loss to Bayern. Their all 4 matches were goal fest. They score somehow but defensively not great as well. Only 3 clean sheets on last 9 UCL matches.
Tottenham is doing fine against French teams, 6W-5D and lost only 2/13. They haven\'t lose last 5 which is the 2nd longest streak for them since October 2018 - April 2019 time.. They will play to extend their unbeaten form.
Also, Tottenham got 4-1 humiliated loss in North London derby vs Arsenal. It is time to show reaction.
PSG is offensive power while Tottenham is doing good as defensive work. I think it will be tight match and i will stay in + handicap. |
Tottenham +1.5 |
1.79 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
26.11 18:30 |
 |
26.11 |
Frankfurt v Atalanta |
Frankfurt suffers injury problems for a long time. They won first match at CL, then double 5-1 defeats and 0-0 draw to Napoli. After 4 matches Frankfurt is the 2nd worst team in terms of shot attempts at CL.
Atalanta stick to draws at Serie A, no win on last 8 but they play different at CL. They beaten Marseille in France and 2-1 home win vs Brugge was comfortable.
They sacked Ivan Juric and new manager Raffaele Palladion is trying adapt team quickly. It can be his \'\'first special match\'\' if they win. |
Atalanta AH 0 |
1.87 |
2 |
 |
1.74 |
 |
26.11 18:31 |
 |
26.11 |
Olmypiacos v Real Madrid |
Oly is doing good at local league but Europe adventure is bad only 2 draws to Pafos which plays at Europe first time in history and home draw to PSV. They lost 2-0 to Arsenal, 6-1 to Barcelona.
Real Madrid plays to recover Liverpool defeat today. They are now without a win on last 3, should be eager to get it.
Real has 95 ELO rating while Oly has 85, which shows big difference between clubs.
|
Real Madrid -0.75 |
1.76 |
2 |
 |
0.76 |
 |
26.11 18:31 |
 |
25.11 |
Galatasaray v Union St |
Galatasaray found good momentum at Europe, won last 3 in a row but never got 4 wins in a row at Europe. I think Liverpool match was tactical loss by Arne Slot. Bodo wwell deserved and Ajax was in bad shape this season.
Gala had hard times at league vs one of the weakest team Genclerbirligi they got 3-2 victory at the end but could have been some surprise result easily. They are trustable in terms of defense.. They average 1.98 xGa per match, almost 2 big goal chances to opponents every match.
Osimhen- Leroy Sane and Baris Alper leads team while unfit Icardi time to time join matches. He may starts if Osimhen does not feel %100 himselfs as he had minor injury at national team.
Galatasaray is having problems against Belgium teams, 4draws and 4 loss on last 8 at Europe.
Union is at the top of Belgium league, CL is 1 won and 3 defeats despite their 1.83 xG per match. They started to play at Europe level recent years, scored at least once on last 9 of 10 away matches. Union recently got 2 away victories at Europe 2-1 Ajax and 3-1 PSV.
Considering both teams, i like that both teams will contribute score to watch more than 2 goals. |
both teams to score & over 2.5 goals |
1.8 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
25.11 05:27 |
 |
25.11 |
Napoli v Qarabag |
Despite too many injury problems for Napoli, they were able to got 3-1 victory. We had also winner pick but huge credits to manager Conte. Great coach all the time even without key players. I would have gone higher odds -0.25 easily.
Qarabag is one of the unique teams of CL. 7 points in 4, got draw vs Chelsea who had rotation to be honestly but point is a point at Champions League. They had 3-2 away win vs Benfica, home win Copenhagen and 3-1 loss to Bilbao. They scored in all.
Napoli hasn\'t have good CL path so far, -1.5 handicap is too big i think considering their situation. Napoli got only 1 win on last 6 CL matches, conceded 13 goals totally.
|
both teams to score |
2.04 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
25.11 05:27 |
 |
24.11 |
Serikspor v Sariyer |
Russian team in Turkish League its Serikspor based in Antalya which is the most touristical city in Turkiye but owners are Russian old Khimki. They sacked Russian manager recently, team consist of half Russian and Turkish players. Despite 4 of last 5 finished overs i still rate them defensive team. Their 3 players got suspension Erhan Celek, Selim Dili and Burak Asan they all are important for them.
Sariyer appointed Servet Cetin who was a center back in his time and counter attack mentality as a manager. Their forward Camara and midfielder Ozbaskici are suspended fot hem.
Due to not enough UEFA standards, they will play this match in Bolu which is very far from Antalya so no home advantage and Bolu knowns as cold city.
Expecting low scoring game.
|
under 3 |
1.625 |
2 |
 |
0 |
 |
24.11 14:57 |
 |
24.11 |
Combo |
Italy
Torino v Como 1907
Como 1907 +0.5 AH 1.324
+
Spain La Liga
Espanyol v Sevilla
Espanyol AH 0 1.46
|
Soccer + Soccer |
1.935 |
2 |
 |
1.87 |
 |
24.11 14:58 |
 |
23.11 |
Umraniyespor v Bodrumspor |
Transfer ban on Umraniyespor trying to stay in relegation spot. They lost 8 of 13, very limited roster. 2 key players are suspended Kaplan and Benny.
Bodrum FK is league leader after relegated from Super League last summer. They have no problem to find score in every match.
Bodrum defenders Ali Aytemur and Yavuyaz got betting fine that won\'t play for a time. Still their offensive line up is strong enough to score minimum 2.
|
Bodrumspor over 1.5 team goals |
1.65 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
22.11 20:29 |
 |
23.11 |
Laizo v Lecce |
Lazio lost to Inter after 6 matches without losing. It is obvious they will struggle to reach Top-6 at the end of season. Manager Sarri shows his skills with limited team.
Lecce got 4 points on last 2 which was enough breath for them.Lecce more likely finish the season in bottom-6 with current Elo rating 79 make them to be in relegation zone 19th.
Sarri team at least can win similar home matches vs bottom-6 teams |
Lazio -0.75 |
1.88 |
1 |
 |
0.88 |
 |
22.11 20:29 |
 |
23.11 |
Inter v AC Milan |
Inter got 3 wins a row after losing to Napoli. 7 victory on last 8, so as expected they will go to Derby della Madonnina with high morale.
Milan hasn\'t lose 2nd match this season after losing. season opening game to newly promoted Cremonese. Only 1 win on last 4 which was against AS Roma. They still play elite matches better. I find Milan much better with manager Allegri, at least no chaos in a team.
Milan hasn\'t lose last 5 Derby matches, thus i feel safer side that both teams will score. |
both teams to score |
1.74 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
22.11 20:30 |
 |
23.11 |
Besiktas v Samsunspor |
Besiktas is having bad season so far, they had Rafa Silva & manager Sergen Yalcin problem during international break. Rafa Silva declares he won\'t play and join team trainings anymore until he terminates his. contract.
Their last win over Antalyaspor i think not enough to clear problems.
Samsunspor is in good form, won all 3 matches at Conference League. German manager Thomas Reis has created solid away team, almost no away defeat. They make compact defence when they play out of home stadium. They are 4W-3D on last 7 away matches at Super League.
I think fair result should draw or Samsunspor win. |
Samsunspor +0.5 |
1.86 |
2 |
 |
1.72 |
 |
22.11 20:30 |
 |
22.11 |
Barcelona v Bilbao |
Barcelona backs to Camp Nou. They gave permission to play half open stadium with 45.000 expected. This time it was good break for Barça as Yamal and Raphinha are back to team.
Barça is still missing Pedri and suspended De Jong. Therefore, Olmo - Fermin - Casado are expected to play.
Nico and Sancet backs for Bilbao to starting XI. . Bilbao can control midfield area better.
Barça needs to have an edge at offense compared to midfielders. As it is stadium opening match, extra motivation factors make me feel 2-1 or 3-1 home win. |
Barcelona win & over 2.5 goals |
1.961 |
2 |
 |
1.92 |
 |
22.11 12:48 |
 |
22.11 |
Napoli v Atalanta |
Napoli lost to Bologna after draw to Como 1907. They lost 5 points in a row suddenly.
Atalanta is also without league win for a long time, 7 matches streak. 3-0 home defeat to Sassuolo hurted a lot.
Lukaku, De Bruyne and Anguissa are out for Napoli. Actually the reason we have such high odds for them today. It would be minimum 0.20 - 0.30 odds lower if they would play.
Manager Antonio Conte i think will find a way somehow to get home win or at least avoid home defeat. |
Napoli AH 0 |
1.64 |
3 |
 |
1.92 |
 |
22.11 12:49 |
 |
22.11 |
Eyupspor v Karagumruk |
There is a huge betting scandal in Turkish league with referees, footballers and even Eyupspor president Murat Ozkaya arrested by police for match fixing. Investigation is still ongoing.. I was mentioning this guy and club for last 2-3 years. I think it was all obvious. It is very small town in Istanbul without any supporters, club history or any youth academy. They are in Super League and i believe all footballers and manager know it is a president club for sure. They may wonder how to get salaries etc in their mind.
Manager Orhan Ak had 4 matches, lost 3 even before this news. Team best defender Lucas Claro is injured and out for season. Scored only 6 goals in 12.
Karagumruk changed manager, Onur Can Korkmaz is back to team as manager who had championship with club last season in lower league. They got 2-0 win over Konyaspor on his first match. It is obvious he knows club roots.
I think it is %55 Karagumruk side. |
Karagumruk +0.5 |
1.757 |
1 |
 |
0.76 |
 |
22.11 12:50 |
 |
22.11 |
Cagliari v Genoa |
Cagliari had a very important point vs away to Como 1907. They are still without a win 7 matches streak.
Genoa had first match with new manager De Rossi against Fiorentina ended 2-2. They seek also first win to catch up momentum.
I hardly can trust Genoa team which has only 1 away win on last 15 Serie A Away matches since the beginning of 2025.
Cagliari at least beat similar teams at home Monza, Venezia, Lecce, Parma , Verona.. |
Cagliari AH 0 |
2.1 |
1 |
 |
0 |
 |
22.11 12:51 |
 |
21.11 |
Valencia v Levante |
Derbi del Turia or in English derby of Valencia. Only 3.5 km far from their stadium. Both are having bad stats recently. 17th Valencia is 2-4-6 record 10 points and 19th Levante 2-3-7 9 points in relegation zone .
Valencia boss Carlos Corberán was counting his last days under Valencia with 3D-4L record.
Levante got only 1 point on last 4 but i think these were solid teams, Atl Madrid + Celta Vigo, Mallorca draw and Rayo Vallecano which is European team this season. They got good results vs similar teams beaten 20th Oviedo 0-2 on away, beaten 18th Girona 4-0 on away and 15th Mallorca draw.
I live Levante away football much better than home football, more suitable for counter attacks. Romero is back from injury.. Btts can be also option but i\'m 1step closer to Levante. |
Levante +0.5 |
1.869 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
21.11 17:55 |
 |
18.11 |
Malta v Poland |
Malta had 1-0 surprise against Finland which was first away win at Wqualificaiton group stages since 2014.
Before, Malta lost 4 of 6 matches scored only 1 goal. There were even 5 red cards on their last 10 matches. It shows obvious when they are miserable prone to get cards which can help us to cover handicap.
Poland mathematically still has a leadership chance... However, come on 14 goal difference + Netherlands needs to lose at home soil vs Lithuania. Looks impossible.
I think or at least Polish players will do their best to get easy match to finish group stage. |
Poland -1.5 |
1.85 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
17.11 19:39 |
 |
18.11 |
Czechia v Gibraltar |
This handicap was -4 yesterday and dropped to -3.75, 3.50. We are talking about a half pro players. I also think their match fitness or sore legs will affect them. I see great pattern that they tend to lose more easily their 2nd matches at international fixture comparing to 1st ones.
Czechia has 13 points, lost to Faroe Islands 2-1 which has 12 points and thankfully they are not playing any more matches. Czechia secured ranking, it will be formality or goal scoring match for them for fun.
I believe Czechia can cover handicap. |
Czechia -3.5 |
1.78 |
1 |
 |
0.78 |
 |
17.11 19:40 |
 |
16.11 |
Israel v Moldova |
Both sides are already eliminated, looks like only a formality match. Still even it is a friendly match, all points calculate for Fifa rankings.
Israel won the first match 4-0, other 2 wins were against Estonia.
Moldova is at the bottom of Fifa rankings even, only 1 draw in this group 1-1 to Estonia.
Israel had solid matches vs Italy 4-5 and 2-4 to Norway which they played similarly in Hungary.
I feel this is the only match i would want to risk instead of big handicaps on England, France, Serbia and Portugal tonight.
|
Israel -1 |
1.787 |
1 |
 |
0.79 |
 |
16.11 13:25 |
 |
13.11 |
Norway v Estonia |
Norway is one of the 3 teams with %100 win rate. They left Estonia and Italy matches before World Cup. They beaten Italy 3-0 on first match, their overall average is much better. Very excited for them to join World Cup since 1998.
They found very highly offensive generation, thanks to Haaland.
Estonia has only 1 victory on last 16 away games at World Cup group stages, lost 12 of them when they were away on foreign soil.
I will take this pick because Norway players wants to break records. |
Norway -3.75 |
1.757 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
12.11 16:28 |
 |
13.11 |
Armenia v Hungary |
Most likely Armenia will finish group stage as last, they will meet with Portugal on last match. They lost 6 of 8 at group stage.
Hungary is slightly better in better condition, their 2-2 draw to Portugal bring 2nd ranking. It is a must win game before hosting Ireland on last match for 2nd ranking match. Hungary scored exactly 2 goals on their last matches at home and away.
Captain Dominik Szoboszlai from Liverpool is leading team, totally 6 goal contributions either scored or assist in the last 6 matches for his nation. |
Hungary -1 |
1.917 |
1 |
 |
0 |
 |
12.11 16:28 |
 |
09.11 |
1461 Trabzon v Yeni Mersin |
1461 Trabzon is 3W-3D-5L, slightly above relegation zone. They appointed new manager Olcay Sahan who is young for manager experience and was with another youth project Altinordu on recent years.
1461 Trabzon has strong connections with Super League team Trabzonspor. Their youth academy has reached Youth Champions League on recent years. They should have good talents to give minutes and competition purpose at same time.
New manager Olcay Sahan is 2W-2D despite 3 away games. Their only home win was in 7 September, 2 months ago. I think today they have good chance to get 2nd home win vs suitable opponent.
Yeni Mersin had transfer ban during summer from FIFA. They are 2W-1D-1L on last 4 but 2 of wins were against bottom-4.
|
1461 Trabzon -1 |
1.71 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
09.11 05:09 |
 |
09.11 |
Guzide Gebzespor v Bursaspor |
I think there is mismatch and unfair odds for this match.
They have only 3 points difference on ranking but 4 of 6 victories of Guzide Gebzespor came against bottom-4. They haven\'t started to play against vs solid teams in this division.
Bursaspor is looking for good old times at Super League, planning to promote in a short time. Their only 3 of 8 victories were against bottom-4.
I rate them slightly better than home team.
|
Bursaspor |
1.9 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
09.11 05:10 |
 |
09.11 |
Kocaelispor v Galatasaray |
Nigerian victor Osimhen is leading Galatasaray, he had hat-trick in midweek against Ajax to got 3-0 away win in Netherlands. They got draw vs Trabzonspor last week, looking for recovery match. Kocaeli is just 2 hours away from Istanbul by bus, so not a big travel disadvantage for them.
Kocaelispor is newly promoted team, managed by Selcuk Inan who is ex-captain of Galatasaray. He has never won against Galatasaray since he started manager career. He usually makes wrong analysis or very offensive teams. |
Galatasaray -1.25 |
2.01 |
3 |
 |
-3 |
 |
09.11 12:33 |
 |
09.11 |
Samsunspor v Eyupspor |
Samsunspor is in Conference League, got 2-0 win vs Malta team Hamrun. They got 3 wins at Europe, league record is 5W-5D-1L. Looks good on paper considering their transfer ban during summer.
They could not create deep roster, few players and 3 key players are injured Ntcham , Ceesay and Coulibaly are out.
I don\'t consider them as big team and i don\'t think they are fit to win in midweek than at weekend at league.
Eyupspor has changed manager, they lost 1-0 to Antalyaspor which was equal i think. They consist of high level players , many loan from Galatasaray or European experienced players such as Kerem Demirbay from Leverkusen.
It looks good spot for them to hurt Samsunspor and get at least a point. |
Eyupspor +1 |
1.63 |
1 |
 |
0 |
 |
09.11 12:34 |
 |
09.11 |
AS roma v Udinese |
I was %50 -50 for Udinese to score or Udinese +1. Almost same odds, i feel better on this one.
Roma is not at elite level, they have midweek Europe matches. Also, they lost to Inter and AC Milan last week. I haven\'t seen big match victory so far.
Udinese is tough team this season, beaten Atalanta last week which was first defeat of Atalanta this year.
I think risk/reward is fine to expect goal by Udinese. |
Udinese over 0.5 |
1.87 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
09.11 12:34 |
 |
09.11 |
Inter v Lazio |
Inter had beaten Fiorentina and Verona after they lost to Napoli. They struggled some time against Verona but somehow got 3 points at the end. Tight fixture sometimes disturb concentration. They still not at the best form at CL, beaten Kairat 2-1 at least no surprise.
Lazio is having tough season with Sarri. They beaten Cagliari as expected. They haven\'t lose on last 6 but not winning series as well.
Inter manager Chivu mostly focus on offensive attacks, many players have long shot threat. At least they are easy to score at home stadium San Siro. I think they can score at both halves and cover handicap. |
Inter -1.25 |
1.763 |
2 |
 |
1.53 |
 |
09.11 12:35 |
 |
08.11 |
Parma v AC Milan |
AC Milan has advantage after bad last season they are not in Europe for midweek extra-matches. Inter, Napoli and Juventus has suffered already in busy fixture.
Milan is coming off win against Roma after 2 draws in a row which will be their Top-5 opponents.
Parma has lost to Bologna at home, winless on last 5. Other Top-5 teams Juve and Roma both scored 2 goals against Parma.
Milan has scored first goal in 7 of 10 matches that make me good if they score at half time than 2nd goal should not be too late for them.
|
Milan over 1.5 team goals |
1.763 |
2 |
 |
1.53 |
 |
08.11 11:06 |
 |
08.11 |
Sevilla v Osasuna |
Osasuna is 3W-2D-6L but they had away matches vs Real Madrid, Villarreal, Betis, Espanyol and Atl Madrid such strong teams, lost 5 of these and got only draw vs Oviedo. As a result, they focus this match to get minimum 1 point.
Sevilla still far from best, Argentinian manager needs Spanish league lesson. They lost 3 matches in a row after beating Barcelona. They easily lose home matches too. Sevilla has won only 2 of last 17 home matches.
Budimir is injured for Osasuna, the reason i reduce from stakes 2 to 1. |
Osasuna +0.5 |
1.76 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
08.11 11:06 |
 |
08.11 |
Tottenham v Man Utd |
Last Europa Leauge finalist meet for league match this season. Tottenham won 1-0 and got the title in May. They both are 5W-2D-3L. Tottenham created strong edge on recent years, Tottenham has won 5 of last 7 and got 2 draws. Man Utd got last win on 2022 for their H2H.
Tottenham had awful match vs Chelsea last weekend, according to whoscored it was the lowest xG that any team created at Premier League this season.
Man Utd beaten Liverpool but they still need to improve, only 1 win on last 11 away trips at Premier League, lost 7/11 ( my favourite grocery shop in Thailand )
Also, their London trips generally with upsets lost 16 of 25 last London trips for red devils. |
Tottenham AH 0 |
2.08 |
2 |
 |
0 |
 |
08.11 11:07 |
 |
08.11 |
Gaziantep v Rizespor |
Gaziantep is having offensive football with manager Yilmaz. He likes to 3rd zone press with many players. As a result they score easily but give a lot of free spaces to opponents.
Rizespor is the suitable team for fast attacks. They scored at least goal on last 8 of 9 and scored 4 away matches in a row. |
both teams to score |
1.65 |
2 |
 |
1.3 |
 |
08.11 11:07 |
 |
07.11 |
Sariyer v Vanspor |
n sunday we had same pick on Vanspor vs Sakaryaspor but game finished 3-3. Vanspor star player Cedric is out today and i am happy to risk again.
Same reasons, Vanspor manager Hakan Kutlu is defensive minded coach. 7 of 12 finished unders now.
Their 6 of 7 matches vs Top-7 teams finished unders. Sakaryaspor did terrible defense i think only reason thay went goalish.
Sariyer is with new manager Servet Cetin who was in this division with Amedspor last year. He is well known of counter attack, sit deep at defence for a long time. |
Under 2.5 |
1.78 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
07.11 11:59 |
 |
06.11 |
V Plzen v Fenerbahce |
Plzen is on a good run at domestic league 3W-1L, lost to 1nd Sparta Prague and will host 1st Slavia 3 days after this match to fill 5 points gap. They started in CL qualifications, 1-1 draw to Ferencvaros is fair, 3-0 Malmo understandable and away 2-1 win vs Roma was over expectation.
Fenerbahce still seek their best after Mourinho gave big damage to club. Tedesco got very important 3-2 derby win at weekend vs Besiktas. They had solid home wins vs Nice and Stuttgart at EL.
Colombian striker John Duran started to take minutes and scored finisher at weekend. Few rotation is expected for that reason i feel btts is safer side for Fener.
|
both teams to score |
1.67 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
06.11 16:00 |
 |
06.11 |
Utrecht v Porto |
Utrecht lost all 3 matches so far, Lyon, Brann and Freiburg not good start to Europe 14 years after they joined the competition. 2W on last 10 may raise concern about club. At this times, some clubs don\'t focus Europe to save season at domestic.
Porto got ugly defeat to Nottingham after winning first 2. They got double 2-1 wins after that match and they are now 12W-1D-1L this season. Considering club experience at Europe stage and league difference I favour Porto to get 3 points. |
Porto -0.75 |
1.78 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
06.11 16:01 |
 |
06.11 |
Rangers v Roma |
Rangers lost all 3, Brann + Strum Graz + Genk all were same calibrated teams. After bad results at Scottish league, lastly German manager Danny Röhl took charge. They lost semi final to biggest rival Celtic after extra time 4 days ago. Morales are down.
Roma is with Atalanta legend manager Gasperini, trying to gain momentum with new formation style comparing to last season. I like Gasperini style and he likes to focus European matches every season. They lost to Plzen and Lille after beating Nice this season. This match is winnable for Italian club. |
Roma -0.75 |
1.763 |
1 |
 |
0.76 |
 |
06.11 16:01 |
 |
05.11 |
Newcastle v Bilbao |
Bilbao has many missing, they will play almost with full rotation team. Williams brothers, striker Sannadi, midfielder Sancet, left back Yuri and right full back Gorosabel are out of team.
They struggle this season since Williams had injury. They try to lock games 0-0 at half time and seek second half goal.
Newcastle is performing well, had solid home match vs Barcelona at home but lost 1-2.
I think Newcastle victory should be banker and i\'m happy to risk -1.25. |
Newcastle -1.25 |
1.87 |
2 |
 |
1.74 |
 |
05.11 12:58 |
 |
05.11 |
Ajax v Galatasaray |
Ajax is not in best shape, 5W-5D-1L in Netherlands and lost 3 CL matches 0-2 Inter we had a winner pick, 4-0 Marseille and 5-1 Chelsea.
Heitinga team could not create high domination team so far, 1-1 PSV and 0-2 home loss to AZ Alkmaar against Top-4 league teams at domestic.
Kenneth Taylor is suspended after red card against Chelsea. Ajax failed to make. clean sheet on last 11 matches in a row.
Galatasaray had wonderful strategy to beat Liverpool 1-0 after losing 5-1 Frankfurt.. On 3rd match they got 3-1 home win Bodo. They are in better confidence with 6 points.
That confidence can give them better advantage today.
|
Galatasaray AH 0 |
1.621 |
2 |
 |
1.24 |
 |
05.11 12:59 |
 |
05.11 |
Benfica v Leverkusen |
Benfica has lost 3 CL matches, Qarabag at home and double loss in England. They are in situation with stress. Mourinho football is dying every year. I don\'t expect high domination football in this case they need to win. They had a total 8 shots on target in 3 matches.
Leverkusen lost 3-0 to Bayern Munich at league, it was 2nd defeat for them. New manager Hjulmand also seek first win at Europe. Robert Andrich is suspended and several not important missings Equi and Fernandez.
Leverkusen had 2-2 Copenhagen and 1-1 PSV before losing to PSG 2-7 at home. I think Leverkusen players have sorry to club to forget that disaster. I think they can get at least 1 point to avoid defeat. |
Leverkusen +0.5 |
1.943 |
1 |
 |
0.94 |
 |
05.11 12:59 |
 |
03.11 |
Igdir v Bandirmaspor |
Bandirmaspor down to 9 players last weekend, managed 0-0 draw against Erokspor. Ndongala and team top goal scorer Tanque are suspended. These 2 are very important players for away team.
Igdir FK is 2W-1d-1L on last 4, with new manager Uzulmez they are looking for Top-4 ranking. Better players and better roster is on home team. |
Igdir to win |
1.7 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
03.11 15:08 |
 |
03.11 |
Rizespor v Karagumruk |
Rizespor had 2 draws on last 2. They had only 4 points on 5 home matches. There are still clouds over club and manager Palut who is normally perform very well vs average teams.
Karagumruk finally got 1 point 2-2 draw after losing 6 matches in a row.
Hard to trust both sides, especially i don\'t find it logic such favourite for Rizespor which struggle to win matches. Karagumruk can be dangerous today by their long shots. |
both teams to score |
1.71 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
03.11 15:08 |
 |
02.11 |
Vanspor v Sakaryaspor |
Both teams have 17 points in 11. Sakaryaspor did extra-work to my project ranking. They had some internal problems after team best left back Caner Erkin and center back fought in the pitc during the game. After, board members ruled out both players. 8 of 11 finished overs for Sakaryaspor.
However, this time they will face with unregular team. Vanspor is a simple team based on manager tactics. Hakan Kutlu likes to defensive football, happy to sit back 0-0,1-0 for a long time and minimal risks for offense. 7 of 11 finished unders but stats may show wrong data sometimes.
Vanspor is ranking 8th and they already made matches vs Top-7 teams. 6 of them finished under 2.5 goals. |
under 2.5 |
1.943 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
02.11 13:56 |
 |
02.11 |
Fiorentina v Lecce |
Fiorentina lost to Inter as well, one of the worst start to the season in history. 4D-5L in 9, some experienced players like Dzeko started to increase their voice in front of media for Stefano Pioli. I feel he can be sack after this match if fail to win today.
Lecce has created weak team in summer period, only victory was vs Parma lost 5 of 9.
I will go with Fiorentina to get their first victory today. |
Fiorentina -0.75 |
1.934 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
02.11 13:57 |
 |
02.11 |
West Ham v Newcastle |
West Ham is in a free fall, lastly they lost 2-1 to Leeds Utd. It was 3rd losing match in a row. They lost 5 of last 6. Nuno Espirito Santo also could not stop bad momentum on team.
Newcastle beaten Tottenham in EFL cup 3 days ago. After this match, they will meet with Bilbao for Champions League in home stadium. 5 wins on last 6 but scored only 9 goals in 9 league matches.
I feel West Ham first need to focus clean sheet and Newcastle may be comfortable to control the game first and score later. |
under 3 |
1.74 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
02.11 13:57 |
 |
02.11 |
Wolfsburg v Hoffenheim |
Wolfsburg finally got a victory vs Hamburg after they lost 4 matches in a row. They lost to lower division team Kiel 1-0 in midweek. There are still black clouds over team. It may be protest day if they lose today.
Hoffenheim won their last 2 matches by 3-1 and 3-0 but both opponents were bottom-4. They are another team eliminated from DFB Pokal in midweek after 2-2 90 minutes and penalties. They may both feel fatigue legs to cut pace.
To be honestly i did not plan 3 under games in 1 day. i just prepare my focus matches on friday without odds and check team news on match day and write odds while i\'m preparing picks. So Good luck all of us
|
under 3.25 |
1.925 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
02.11 13:58 |
 |
01.11 |
Real Madrid v Valencia |
El Clasico winner Real Madrid will visit Liverpool in midweek. They have full of confidence now. We had a winner pick on Real to beat Barça last weekend. It was obvious with such offensive line up vs Barca defensive line up.
Almost same miss match today vs Valencia. This is how they found themselves in relegation zone last season. They concede more easily after 1st goal or give up match easily. They lost to Barcelona 6-0 this season.
5 points gap with Barcelona, offensive players are in form. They can get easy score to boost morale before Liverpool match |
Real Madrid -2 AH |
1.847 |
2 |
 |
1.69 |
 |
01.11 14:24 |
 |
01.11 |
Galatasaray v Trabzonspor |
7 of 10 matches finished overs for home team. They tend to score much easier with gegen pressing on home matches. Gala is without key defender Davidson and playmaker Ilkay Gundogan today. Galatasaray conceded home goals on 9 of 10 matches on last 2 season when key defender Davidson is out.
Trabzonspor also on fire, won 4 matches in a row scored 2-2-4-4 on these times. 2.05 striker Onachu scores much easy headers every match vs short teams. Gala will have difficulty to defend him. |
both teams to score |
1.64 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
01.11 14:24 |
 |
01.11 |
Heidenheim v Frankfurt |
4 points after 8 matches explain Heideneim situation. Not enough team level for Bundesliga.
They were down to 10 man at first half by red card to Sierslleben vs Hamburg.
Frankfurt got upset at DFB Pokal in midweek vs Dortmund but they got nice result at weekend, 2-0 home win vs St Pauli was important as it was first clean sheet after 11 matches. They are still very goalish team, 2nd most scorer after Bayern.
Expect clear away victory.
|
Frankfurt |
1.89 |
2 |
 |
-2 |
 |
01.11 14:25 |
 |
01.11 |
Combo |
4- Double
Germany Bundesliga
Leipzig v Stuttgart
over 2.5 goals 1.48
Netherlands
Ajax v Heerenveen
over 2.5 goals 1.44
double pays 2.14
Stake: 1 unit
I want to try nice double over 2.5 goals. Stuttgart is having nice offensive matches with Sebastian Hoeness. Both had cup match in midweek and fighting for Top-4 ranking. There were 25 goals on last 5 H2H. Leipzig dropped points to Dortmund and Bayern so far but Stuttgart can hurt as well.
8 of 10 matches of Heerenveen finished o2.5 goals. They got 5W-2D on last 7.
Heitinga team Ajax got 3-2 away win vs Twente after 5-1 ugly defeat to Chelsea. Stil i don\'t rate them elite team comparing to previous seasons.
I think obvious goalish match. |
Leipzig v Stuttgart over 2.5 goals + Ajax v Heerenveen over 2.5 goals 1.44 |
2.14 |
1 |
 |
-1 |
 |
01.11 14:27 |