El Clasico winner Real Madrid will visit Liverpool in midweek. They have full of confidence now. We had a winner pick on Real to beat Barça last weekend. It was obvious with such offensive line up vs Barca defensive line up.

Almost same miss match today vs Valencia. This is how they found themselves in relegation zone last season. They concede more easily after 1st goal or give up match easily. They lost to Barcelona 6-0 this season.

5 points gap with Barcelona, offensive players are in form. They can get easy score to boost morale before Liverpool match

7 of 10 matches finished overs for home team. They tend to score much easier with gegen pressing on home matches. Gala is without key defender Davidson and playmaker Ilkay Gundogan today. Galatasaray conceded home goals on 9 of 10 matches on last 2 season when key defender Davidson is out.

Trabzonspor also on fire, won 4 matches in a row scored 2-2-4-4 on these times. 2.05 striker Onachu scores much easy headers every match vs short teams. Gala will have difficulty to defend him.

4 points after 8 matches explain Heideneim situation. Not enough team level for Bundesliga.
They were down to 10 man at first half by red card to Sierslleben vs Hamburg.

Frankfurt got upset at DFB Pokal in midweek vs Dortmund but they got nice result at weekend, 2-0 home win vs St Pauli was important as it was first clean sheet after 11 matches. They are still very goalish team, 2nd most scorer after Bayern.

Expect clear away victory.

4- Double
Germany Bundesliga
Leipzig v Stuttgart
over 2.5 goals 1.48

Netherlands
Ajax v Heerenveen
over 2.5 goals 1.44

double pays 2.14
Stake: 1 unit

I want to try nice double over 2.5 goals. Stuttgart is having nice offensive matches with Sebastian Hoeness. Both had cup match in midweek and fighting for Top-4 ranking. There were 25 goals on last 5 H2H. Leipzig dropped points to Dortmund and Bayern so far but Stuttgart can hurt as well.

8 of 10 matches of Heerenveen finished o2.5 goals. They got 5W-2D on last 7.

Heitinga team Ajax got 3-2 away win vs Twente after 5-1 ugly defeat to Chelsea. Stil i don\'t rate them elite team comparing to previous seasons.
I think obvious goalish match.

HAtayspor is only club without a win except U19 Adana Demirspor. Surprisingly, some talented players are out today. Probably, they finished their chapter until January and looking for new club. Their most important striker Okoronwko is out not in squad.

Erzurum has created strong team, but a lot protest to manager due to his results 4W- 7D. He likes to avoid defeat if he can\'t win.

Hatayspor conceded 30 goals in 11, 3 goals per match. Very offensive style and Portugese manager Hugo Almedia never steps back.

Augsburg is 2W-1D-5L, they deserve ranking where they are now. Bad defensive organisation by Sandro Wagner team. They lost 6-0 to Bayern last weekend.

Dortmund got last minute victory vs Koln which was small clash in North Rhine. They had goo pressure on last 10 minutes. They had 1-1 draw vs Frankfurt and got result after penalties.

It is target match for Dortmund to win and i don2t see surprise on this meeting.

Pisa is 4D-4L, still dreaming first victory after 34 years in Italian Top League since they relegated in 1991.

Pisa was very close to win vs AC Milan 6 days ago but Milan player Athekame scored 90+ goal to get 2-2 draw at the end.

Due to financial problems and transfer ban, Lazio had difficulty to create team on summer. However, i found them good on recent matches. 1-0 Juventus win , 0-0 Atalanta, 3-3 Torino...

Pisa may focus this match as beatable opponent to take extra risks which can be better for Lazio. Lazio can take lead at half time is more likely and they can finish game with victory.

After Juventus victory, Como got only 1 point away to Parma. I was waiting that game if Como can start series or no. Big clubs or elite players can easily start it but Como could not. It is time to back home in midweek cover point loss to Parma.

Verona is still without a victory at league, they got 2-0 lead vs Cagliari but finished 2-2 draw at the end. Verona game style is sit back on their half, hoping for counter attacks. As a results, opponents find many shots and corners on their every match. Verona recieves avg 6.5 corners when they play away. Verona also concedes 1.55 xGa per away match which is the worst 6th in the league.

Como has created solid team to join European contest at the end of season. It should be home win.

Bologna is 4W-2D-2L ranking 8th but in terms of xG they are 2nd best team by 2.07 xG per match after 1st Inter. They try high quality shots on target easily. They were 0-2 up to Fiorentina but it was must win home point for Fiorentina and they scored 2 penalty goals to finish 2-2 which was btts pick for us on that match.

Same for defensive skills, Bologna is the best defensive team in terms of concede xGa 0.37 per match while Torino only found 1.04 per match which is average not good not bad.

Torino played 2 home matches and got 2 home wins 1-0 Napoli and 2-1 Genoa. I think they also didn\'t expect Napoli victory. Torino didn\'t get 3 victories in a row at Serie A since 2018.

They look like good but Torino is i think below average on away matches,, won only 3 of last 20 away Serie A games.

Silifke Belediye is 4th division club while Amed Sportif is 2nd division club..

Average performance by Silifke in their league. Amed Sportif is title candidate in 1. Lig. They start with fully strong team. Gyan, Cedar Orhan and Dia Saba is on the pitch.

It seems new manager of Amed, manager Sinan wants to qualify at Cup.

Atalanta hardly got a 1-1 draw to Cremonese, we had btts winner pick on 25 October 3 days ago. They are getting draw 4 matches in a row.

AC Milan had also ugly draw at home vs Pisa. It was unexpected point loss for them.

Atalanta is trying to find new formation after Gasperini left and they are not at same level so far. They are trying just too many shots, to increase xG but i didn\'t like it so far.

AC Milan is title candidate and their biggest advantage is that they are not competing at Europe this season.

Overall, I rate AC Milan better team and AH 0 is much safe pick to me

Also, Kasimpasa best player Bosnian Hajradinovic is injured. Gueye and Ben Ounes didn\'t play on Eyupspor match.
Besiktas is missing Rafa Silva. They had midweek win vs Konyaspor.  They are still not at best with manager Sergen Yalcin. Kasimpasa is also Istanbul based city with tiny supporters. So, it is not an away game.
I think Besiktas will win easier than expected.

Barça destroyed Real Madrid last season when Ancelotti took charge. Catalans won all 4 El Classico. But i feel much better on Xabi Alonso. He is changing team a lot or make different tactics to each opponent.
Barça is missing Lewandowski, Raphinha, Olmo and Gavi. They play with very young players, especially at defence. Real offenders should find edge there with Mbappe, Arda Guler and Vinicius if he plays. Center back Hujsen is recovered and ready to play.
I think Real will score minimum 2 but not sure about 3rd goal. I feel better on Real to win. 

Boluspor changed manager recently. They got point vs Igdir FK. Left back Lima is suspended. 
Corum FK has created Top-5 team but too many offensive players and concede a lot of goals. 7 of 8 finished btts. If they want to be champion, they need to win this type of matches easily at home stadium.

Amed Sportif is the oldest team in this division. Weak on away matches but very strong at home stadium. Mbaye Diagne finds it very easy to score in this league, 10 goals in 9. Dia Sabia is their talented playmaker creates high xG in every match for himself. 
Istanbulspor got only 2 wins in 10. They consist of young players every season and finish above mid rankings. I think their youth energetic conditions can find a goal today as well. Amed to win is not value as well as handicaps. I think minimum 3 goals. 

Fiorentina is one of my team i track regularly. We had winner pick on them in midweek vs Rapid Vienna. They are still at very bad form at Serie A, no victory. They lead vs Ac Milan last weekend but conceded 2 goals by Leao and lost it. 
Edin Dzeko also complained that they should start playing 2 strikers and manager Pioli directly answered him in front of press conference. Pioli has limited days if they will perform like this. 
Bologna is other European team. They beaten Cagliari and Pisa in a row. Also win in Romania vs FCSB. They are in a good form. 
It looks to me good btts pick. 

It is always tricky to find home favourites on lower divisions. Pendikspor consist of young and experienced players. Wonderkid GK loaned from Basaksehir, helping team to get at least avoid defeats. Midfielder Dencic is suspended. 
Serikspor is almost half Russian team, ex owner of Khimki invested to club as a \'\'hidden\'\' supporter. Son of president and son of manager are also playing in the team. Russian manager Sergey Yuran was doing strict defensive in the beginning of season but recently they switched to more offensive. They scored at least once on last 6 of 7. 
Yes, Pendikspor is favourite but i would not risk my money for them to win. Serikspor should score as well. 

Trabzonspor has finally found good momentum, winning 3 matches in a row. We had winner picks 3 matches in a row about Trabzonspor on 18.10, 03.10 and 27.09. I will go for 4th one. 
2.02 cm height Nigerian Onuachu still finds it very easy to score header as Trabzonspor scored header 6 goals on last 15. 
Eyupspor has changed manager, won the first match 2-0 vs Kasimpasaspor. Still, bad on away lost 6 of last 7 at Super League. They conceded easy goals comparing to last season that helped  GK Berke Ozer made a transfer to French Lille. 
Trabzonspor can score minimum 2 at home stadium to join Top-3 race. 

Cremonese did great job so far, lost first Serie A match to Inter 4-1 on 6th fixture on their first year after promotion. After that match, they were again underdog to Udinese took lead but got 1-1 draw at the end. It is great record for them as they were never favourites this season. 
Atalanta is trying to find new system with manager Ivan Juric. They got 3 draws in a row at league. They are looking for finishing their draw series but I don\'t think they should deserve to be heavy favourite. I expect both teams will score. 

Chelsea got 5-1 win vs Ajax which was their 4th victories in a row. 3 of 4 finished overs. 1-0 home win vs Mourinho managed Benfica. 
Chelsea attacking good but still very risky to trust their wins as many injured defensive problems. Only Man City scored more than Chelsea so far. 
Italian manager Enzo Maresco enjoys his young and athletic team as they have the youngest average age at Premier League and even there is no player more than 30 years old. Good sides yes energetic but bad side they can be fragile anytime. 
Sunderland doing good so far as low budget, newly promoted team. Granit Xhaka is the commander of team and he should find his way to score against one of the elite clubs.

Fenerbahce is still in chaotic problems. I see Mourinho totally leave club in terrible conditions like he did similar to AS Roma. It took some time to recover. Not enough summer camp, match conditions finish at first half, wrong team management etc.. New transfer from Man City and Brazil NT GK Ederson injured. 3rd Tarik Cetin started to play recently, he conceded easy mistake vs Karagumruk at weekend.

Stuttgart is trying to make same momentum they did last season. They have same game mentality, Atakan Razor controls the midfield and striker Deniz Undav is dangerous enough to score in penalty area.

Fenerbahce is very successful at European home matches but this time i\'m not sure they can win or no.. Stuttgart can easily score if relegation zone Karagumruk also scored and found many goal threats.

This picks is simple to oppose Nottingham which has only 1 victory in 11 official matches this season. I think they may tolerate Europa League to cover league. They sacked another manager and Sean Dyche will be new manager.

Porto is in good condition with manager Fairoli. They won both Europa League matches. Also, they are undefeated at league. They can at least avoid defeat in England.

Fiorentina is still the biggest candidate for Conference League despite bad results at Serie A. They may perform much better at this low level European matches.

Rapid Vienna enjoys playing high offensive football in home stadium. After good start to season, they started to found themselves on bad run. They lost 4 in a row. Seems very fragile defense they have.

Samsunspor is back to European football after more than +30 years. They got solid victory in Poland. Despite league matches, they may have more exciting atmosphere at stadium.

Dynamo Kiev is in a lot problems due to war zone. They consist of very young players. No win on last 5, easy to concede.

Hard to make analysis about a team who is from Gibraltar. They consist of half pro half amateur or part time players. They lost first match 5-0 to Bosnian Zrinjski.

Lech Poznan is 5W-4D-2L at league. At least they play in a solid league with great offensive minded mentality. They also need ranking points for country and better spot for Europe. They beaten Rapid Vienna 4-1 on first match. Should be easy win.

Nothing too much to talk about Liverpool which lost 4 mathces in a row at league and CL. It should be last reaction match otherwise Arne Slot can search flight tickets to his homeland.

Frankfurt is young and energetic team but prone to make mistakes if opponent push hard. They have GK problem, easy to concede.

It is time for Liverpool victory.

So far, Real Madrid is much better team with Alonso than Ancelotti. But they don\'t look like elite team on big matches so far i watched against Atl Madrid, Marseille and also Sociedad match. They have upcoming El Classico as well. Alaba, Rudiger, Carvajal and Cabellos are injured.

Asencio and Militao play as center backs while Valverde takes right back position. Recently, I noticed they are much worse team when Bellingham starts. Real looks like 10 man when he is on the pitch. Camavinga and Tchouameni played to save spaces for Bellingham but it didn\'t work against Getafe. Vinicous and Arda Guler came from bench and took score before surprise happened.

Juve side had too many goal fest matches, but could not take lead easily. 4-3 Inter, 4-4 Dortmund, 2-2 Villarreal recently..

Real -1 is too big to me.. maybe for inplay we can catch better odds but for pre market i like both teams will score at least once.

Ferran Torres has recovered from injury and start on bench i think. He will most likely get minutes at second half.

Last minute goal against Girona was not good at all, they were about to make 3 matches without a win if they wouldn\'t score. Barcelona has weird stats that they never lost 2 Champions League home matches in a row. League and team difference is obvious. No doubt they are big handicap favourites.

Oly has bad record in Spain, never won a game in Spainish soil in 16 matches, lost 14. Both draws were against Deportivo in 2001 and 2004.
Also not only Olympiacos, none of Greek teams got an away victory on 21 matches against Spanish teams on away, lost 17.

Ter Stegen, Raphinha, Lewandowski and Gavi are still out but team roster is enough to get 2-0, 3-0 or 3-1 type victory.

Belgium team defeated PSV 3-1 on away and lost 0-4 to Newcastle. They play home matches in Lotto Park which belongs to Anderlecht due to not enough UEFA standards.

Inter beaten Ajax 2-0 in Netherlands , 3-0 S.Prague in Italy. They beaten Roma 1-0 at league. Chivu team plays more disciplined and less risky football comparing to previous seasons. Also his system with 3 great offenders can be too much for Argentinian center back leader Mac Allister for Union.

I started enjoy watching Villarreal for manager Marcelino. He is making great offensive attacks and strategies. He never steps back regardless of the opponent. I think they will play same vs Man City which give me easy hopes for goals. They have currently 1 point in 2 CL matches. So they also need to take risks.

I like both teams to score as well at around 1.65 but if match will stay 1-1 to last 10-15 minutes Villarreal will take more risks which makes me feel safe that late goal is also very likely.

Pep should know his Spanish team much better than anyone else. He is 6W-2D on last 8 in all competitions. Man City scored 2 or more goals on last 5 of 6 despite won only 2 of them on last 6.

After failing to score 5 matches in a row, Eyupspor changed manager. New manager Orhan Ak has almost no manager history, he was assistant manager time to time. I found it very sceptical.

Kasimpasa lost best player Bosnian Hajradinovic. They avoided defeat 5 matches in a row, including 1-1 draw to Fenerbahce. Kasimpasa manager Georgian Shota likes offensive football 5 of 8 finished btts. I think typical 1-1 or 2-1,1-2 match.

8 of 5 matches finished under for Alaves but after their last win 3-1 vs Elche has increased odds little bit. Argentinian manager Coudet is strict defensive mentality manager. He tried double striker system before international break that may also trigger high odds chance but i don\'t think.

Valencia is trying 4-4-2 with wing attack options but their capacity is limited. Only 1 point on 4 away matches which they had only 2 shots on target and scored. They are coming off ugly 2-1 defeat to Girona which team key player Diakhaby injured.

Erokspor is 6W-1D-2L , ranking. 4th. All 5 home matches finished overs. They make risky football but get results what they wish. Perfect results for a team which is playing only their 2nd season in this division in club history.

Bodrumspor has relegated from Super League, team consist of young talents. They scored at least a goal in all matches they had this year. It is almost Top-3 ranking match and both teams seek positive football.

Levante is newly promoted side but much better than many teams already like Sociedad, Celta, Bilbao etc.. They are 6th most scorer team, easy to score in matches. Both strikers are i think above Levante level. Especially I got surprised when Eyong joined after season started.

Vallecano got 2 victories in a row at Europe, should be boost confidence. They should find goals against similar teams like them.

It should be one of the match easily we can back Fenerbahce to score more than 2 today. Mourinho sacked by president after they lost to Benfica prior to CL group phase. After 2 weeks president Ali Koc lost election but he appointed Dominic Tedesco before left. Current situation is new president in charge with manager he didn\'t appointed. He says he doesn\'t want to change team quickly and give full confidence to Tedesco but they ruled out 2 Turkish player Irfancan and Cenk Tosun. I think it is their warning level.

Tedesco is trying to adapt and know his players. Asensio will start as playmaker and Nene - Oguz looks like their fast wings today.

Karagumruk is one of the weak side of division. They promoted this season and more likely relegate at the end of season. They lost 7 of 8 already.

Fenerbahce needs clear victory.

Genoa is still without a win this season, had a hard times against Bologna, Lazio and Napoli recently. What is interesting is all 3 home matches finished without scoring. Patrick Viera should hope to start scoring at home at least.

Parma lost to Lecce at home match after they beaten Torino and planning to start new momentum. Parma is in terrible form at away matches, only 1 win on last 16 away trips at Serie A. Lost 9 of them.

I think these both teams will finish season Top-6. They both play very offensive and positive football. They will have both European matches after 4-5 days in midweek. Villarreal is avoiding. defeat at home while Betis knows how to play and take point on away matches.

For side pick, i won\'t be surprise any team wins but i feel good that both can generate goals more than 2.

Napoli was 0-1 down against Genoa just before international break. Same like against Ac Milan. They managed to complete came-back and won the match 2-1 by Anguissa and Höjlund. Höjlund is playing solid recently, he also scored at his national team.

Torino was up vs Lazio 90+3 goal but conceded 90+13 by penalty goal and got 3-3 draw. Despite their results vs Lazio and Roma i still haven\'t watch solid football.

Napoli can get result.

Rizespor got victory by 5 goals but prior to match they said they will sack manager Palut who has problems with some footballers. I think footballers wanted to show reaction. After 5 goals , board members decided to give more chance to manager. On last home match, there were protest to manager by home fans. I\'m not sure to trust this team for a while.

Trabzonspor is lucky that their foreigners didn\'t call up to national team except some. They started to better on last 4-5 matches. It is a called Black sea derby and Trabzonspor can win it.

Hatayspor consist of same players from last season when they were at Super League. They relegated with many problems after big earthquake in city and financial problems. Many players decided to stay in club but they hardly play like a team. Easily conceded goals in every match. Goal line was 2.25-2.50 for a long time and finally it climbs to 3.

Hatayspor lost last matches 5-0,3-0,4-2..

Corum FK has created championship team but no one can reach title with only transers. AFter bad results, manager changed. Cavus knows this division as he managed other teams before. They had first victory vs Manisa FK 3-1.

Corum FK has minimum 2-3 goals by themselves and if Hatayspor can also score at least 1 it will be easy.

Oviedo should be on the other side. This newly promoted team is 2W-6L, as expected Serbian manager sacked and ex footballer Spanish Luis Carrión took charge. They focus urgent point or points quickly.

Espanyol is 2D-2L on last 4, maybe it was lucky win on first fixture vs Atl Madrid than easy home wins vs Osasuna and Mallorca may exaggerated their performance.

I will try a surprise home win today.

It will be 3rd match on last 1.5 years. After Euro 2025 group stage which Turkiye won 3-1, they found themselves in same group stage of World Cup Q. Turkiye beaten 3-2 in Georgia in the first round, they have advantage for 2nd round tailing Spain.

Montella is having offensive football, even they lost to Spain 0-6 he didn\'t change style at second half. They beaten Bulgaria 6-1 3 days ago.

Georgia is not very easy team to cover -1,-2 handicaps. They have good attackers like Mikautadze at Villarreal and Kvaratskhelia in PSG.

It is their last chance for 2nd spot so they can attack what all they can do.

Spain is too heavy favourite in this group, won all 3 matches 3-0,6-0 and 2-0.

What i watched on Bulgaria team is disaster on Turkish game. They looked like half amateur team, very prone to make easy mistakes. It was very easy to lose all balls .

Spain can score minimum 2 at first half to finish match quickly.

North Macedonia beaten Kazakhstan 1-0 on first meeting. They are leader in this group with extra match. It was important to avoid defeat vs Belgium on both matches. It will be more meaningful if they will win today.

Kazakhstan has won only Liechtenstein game. Also, they conceded at least 1 half time goal on last 6 of 8 matches. I think If Macedonia score at first half they can easily go for handicap.

My long term followers know me i don\'t do shitty leagues, u19,u17 or woman leagues or player props where you can have actually €40-50 limits..

I was waiting this pick since last night to increase limits. I see limits are now above €300 in many asian bookies. So I take it and match will start in 1 hour.

Even odds dropped from last night, i still like these odds.

Somaspor is in the bottom-6, consist of young players. They used to grow up young talents and sell it to 1.lig clubs to make profits. This year they don\'t have such big talent. They struggle to maintain success.

1461 Trabzon is based on Trabzon city, as you can guess unofficial B team of Trabzonspor is playing at Super League. They usually loan their young talents also they have several +25 players to aim 1. Lig. After bad results, they sacked manager and Olcay Sahan took charge who was also in Altinordu Turkish Bilbao where they play with only local players.

Also, Trabzonspor Youth team have reached Champions League final last season played with Barcelona and lost it. There are some players from that team as well. So, this team should win today with new manager.

2- Turkish 2. Lig
Elazigspor v Karaman FK
Elazigspor -1.75 AH 1.892
Stake: 1 unit

My other low division match. If odds or limits drop, you can wait prior to the match or first 5-10 minutes.

Elazigspor is 3W-2D-1L, won all 3 away matches and failed to win home matches this season. They have high expectations with strong squad. For that reason, they sacked the manager and appointed a new one.

Karaman FK is 2D-5L after first 7 matches. They had 1-0 up vs Adana 01 FK last weekend at half time but then lost 1-3 at the end. They had transfer ban last season and lifted up as good new but they consist of low level players. I reckon bottom-6 ranking for this season.

I expect first home victory by Elazigspor today.

Bulgaria lost both matches 3-0 to Spain and Georgia. 3rd last match was friendly to Greece and lost 4-0.

This nation is one the weak in Bulgaria history. Even their best players can not play more minutes at their own clubs, Despodov and Illia Gruev. Also, new manager debut first match after controversial decisions approval by politicians.

Turkiye got important victory away to Georgia to secure 2nd ranking then they lost 0-6 home defeato Spain. Italian manager Montella is under pressure that even none of footballers shows reaction or tried to hard tackles.

It should be reaction match otherwise can be last match for Montella. Turkiye has one of the great generation, playmaker Arda Guler is now regular Real Madrid starter, Kenan Yildiz is Juventus forward, Hakan is playmaker of Inter, forward Kerem backs to his country and in good form with Fenerbahce. Defensive players are also good enough.

Norway is in impressive form, thanks to team leader Haaland. They scored 23 , conceded only 2 on last 5 matches. They beaten Israel 4-2 in Hungary and 3-0 Italy.

Israel is under pressure by being knock out of World Cup as well as their current war status in Middle East. I don\'t want to talk about politics as our duty is to find value to make money. They applied to Italy to stay and make preparations but they denied. I think there should be also mind pressure and overthinking in players head.

Israel is 3W-2L but 3 wins were 2 times Estonia and 1 time Moldova.

think odds should be reverse here after watching first 2 matches of Iceland national team. They got 5-0 victory vs Azerbaijan then solid game away to France.

Ukraine is without 3 key players, Tsyhankov, Zubkov and Zinchenko. They all out of team. Ukraine is in now must win situation which can be easier for Iceland team which looks very physically better.

Karaman was in same division last year, typical average team 10W-14D-10L. They could not beat any Top-6 ranked teams.

This season they started with 2 draws then lost all 4 matches in a row. That 2 teams are ranking bottom-2 now.

Adana 1954 FK was also in same division, but different group. They finished 4th for play off spot for 1. lig but could not reach. They are one of the Top-6 candidates this season. League record is 2W-3D-1L so far. Only loss was against 1st Batman Petrol.

This match looks suitable for the first away win of season.

Atl Madrid was 1W-3D-2L on the first 6 matches but they got tremendous 3 victories on last 10 days. 3-2 Vallecano, 5-2 Real Madrid and 5-1 Frankfurt at Champions League. Good that they did all these 3 matches at home stadium. Diegoe Simeone also need away victory to proof their record is not only for Madrid.

Celta had Europe match on Thursday night, extra +2 nights fatigue. Also, Celta Vigo has very few roster. They may face problems when make rotation.

Karagumruk lost 6 of 7 this season. They promoted to Super League this season after 1 year break but team is weak.

Gaziantep is better now since Manager burak yilmaz took charge. 11 points on last 5 matches is impressive form and 4 of these 5 finsihed btts. Still i would never rate them as clear favourite this season.

Karagumruk needs urgent point and this match is their obvious target game for that reason i choose btts.

Bookies finally increased goal line from 2.5 to 2.75 and 3 today. We got good over winners on Hatayspor as they don\'t defence at all. Hatayspor had overs on 6 of 8. 3 of them finished draw. Portuguese ex top goal scorer Hugo Almedia is their manager but looks he can\'t also stop.

Bodrumspor got 5 wins on last 6. They are one of champion candidate. They can score minimum 2 today.

Brentford is playing very offensive football with Keith Andrews, it is also very easily noticeable from high goal chances and drive ins to opponent pitch. As a result, 5 o 6 matches finished overs.

They had 2-2 Chelsea and 3-1 victory vs Man Utd at home.

Man City is coming off 2-2 draw vs Monaco. They had 2-2 and 3-1 victory on their last 2 visits to Brentford.

Hard to stop Haaland nowadays and it is good spot vs Nathan Collins and Dan den Berg at Brentford center backs.

Erzurumspor is the only team in this division haven\'t lost a game after 8 matches. 5 draws are a lot only. All last 3 home matches finished draw.

Vanspor manager Hakan Kutlu was in charge of Erzurumspor last season. He is the only one know this team very well. They finally got victory vs Amed Sportif in midweek after 5 matches run without 3 points.

Chelsea has obvious problems at center backs. Very prone to easy mistakes despite 1-0 win in midweek vs Benfica at CL. GK Sanchez also i don\' t think he is capable of this level.

Liverpool lost 1-0 at CL in midweek after losing to C. Palace last weekend. Arne Slot insisted on hard rotation in the early of season. I don\'t think they will lose 3 matches in a row. Otherwise, mini crisis may start.

Real Madrid suffered 5-2 defeat in Madrid derby last weekend. They haven\'t lost 2 matches in a row in La Liga since 2019 May. It is good spot for reaction match.

They had easy 5-0 win vs weak Kairat in Almaty.

Villarreal beaten Bilbao very luckily. After they had 2-2 draw vs Juventus. Both may rest some players but overall Real has better roster.

Until last weekend, all 6 matches of Trabzonspor finished under 2.5 goals and 4 of them even finished 1-0. We had Trabzonspor to win last weekend as a winner. This match i can fully trust Trabzonspor maybe 2nd time in 4-5 months. 
Manager Tekke is trying to find best starting line up. Striker Onuachu finds it easy to score headers with his 2.02 cm height against weak center backs. Kayserispor has very beatable duo at defence. 
Kayserispor average age is 29.37 which is the oldest 2nd team in the league. This calculated with players who played at least 10 minutes or more. 
Trabzonspor is the 5th youngest team , avg age is 27.  This is the other fact , Trabzonspor can find other goals on the last 30 minutes of game. 

Arsenal beaten Newcastle by last minute goal at weekend. They are Elite team totally. Their Elo ratings are also 94- 85 for Oly.

Arsenal is 9W-2D-1L on last 12 CL home matches.

Olympiakos had 0-0 draw with Pafos on first match. Manager Mendilibar is very strict guy and hardly change his system. Mendilibar lost all last 10 away games at Champions League. Worse, they conceded minimum 2 in all of 1

Spanish team plays offensive 4-4-2 with almost easy to score at all home matches.

Juventus is having offensive 3-4-3.. No need to talk about 4-3 Inter , 4-4 Dortmund matches. After they had double 1-1 draws vs Verona and Atalanta.

I will go with same selection on Juventus match until they change their game style to more defensive.

I\'m surprised to see -2.25 AH. My expectation was -3 directly.

No need to talk about Cyprus league quality. They had 0-0 on first CL match vs Greek Olympiakos. They did great job as down to 10 after 25th minutes red card. Well deserved first 1 point in their Champions League history.

Cyprus team had only 1 victory vs German teams on 52 meetings. German teams won 42/52. That record is 21W-5D-1L when German teams are away.

Bayern had 6 matches vs Cyprus teams, won all 6 by scoring 31 and conceded only 2.

This is 2nd year of new format at CL. Bayern lost 3 of 4 away matches last year. I think this year they are more team with Kompany and they will push hard to prevent such stats last year.

Except last year, Bayern had 18W-2D on last 20 CL matches. No doubt they will win and question is goal margin.

If they win by 2 goal difference, we can lose 0.5 unit. I\'m okay with it.

We just got push on Galatsaray match. What i watch on 2 games vs Frankfurt and Alanyaspor are obvious they are not playing high level football anymore. Some talented guys Icardi, Leroy Sane and time to time referee touches helped them to make 7/7 at league but lost 5-1 to Frankfurt.

Galatasaray is 1W-5D-12L on last 18 Champions League matches. They conceded many shots on target and possessions while they were 1-0 up vs Alanyaspor. Liverpool started season good, they can punish easily.

Also, i would not risk it if it was 5th or 6th old group game format but CL has just started and for better ranking Liverpool will travel with key players.

I feel very secure on this pick.

Adana Demirspor is at the bottom of league only 2 years after they had 6 qualification round at Conference League. Owner of club is in financial problems and club is playing matches with U21 players.

Sivasspor had finally got victory but against Adana Demirspor. They relegated from Super League and keep the team mostly. But somehow, lack of motivation or good results. They should score every match easily.

All matches of Hatayspor produced many goals. They relegated from Super League, ready to compete for Top-6 but they concede. very easily. All of 7 matches finished btts. 
Bandirmaspor had good team but in bad form. They conceded 4 goals from Manisa FK lately. 

Fenerbahce is in a small chaos after Jose Mourinho sacked and president changed in club. New manager Tedesco took charge before election and new president is not sure about him despite he talks to media that he supports Tedesco. 1 assistant manager left 2 days ago which was accepted his role as Turkish to help Tedesco to understand league quick and better way.

Fenerbahce lost 3-1 to Dinamo Zagrep in Europa League after 2 draws in a row at league. They need sorry and reaction match. I think conditions are great to make good start at half time. They may reduce tempo at second half, for that reason i think Fener can make 2-0 score at half time.

Antalyaspor is still average team, manager Emre had 4 matches vs Istanbul giants, conceded 9 goals in 4 half times of games.

Roma beaten Lazio on the hottest derby in Italy after Torino defeat. It was recovery and sorry match for them. They got also away win vs Nice in Europa League.

Verona got 3 draws in 4 league matches. They got 1-1 draw vs Juventus last weekend, i see them hard to get points from 2 giants in 2 weeks in a row shortly.

Roma can score minimum 2 and get result.

Betis had 2-2 draws for Europa League match on Thursday. Manager Pellegrini is trying to build their defence while offense is good for their ranking. Except loss to Bilbalo, Betis scored half time goal in 5 of 6 league matches.

Osasuna lost all away matches so far. They got 1-1 draw vs Elche lastly. They scored only 1 second half goal in 5 of 6, even against weak teams. I think they are not ready to play 90 minutes.

Umraniyespor is 2W-1D-4L, got 1-0 away win vs Boluspor. Goal scorer Batuhan Celik got red card. It is now their 4th red card in 7. They play aggressive football obviously. 
Corumspor created deep squad, able to rest key players in tight fixture. They had 1-1 draw vs Serikspor and now it is 3 matches without a win. Manager Cavus will undergo 2nd match with his new team. 
Team value is almost double size of Umraniyespor. It will be 3rd match that they are away favourite in 4 away trips so far. It means bookies still trust their away victory as well. 

Karagumruk promoted to Super League this year, lost 5 of 6 so far. They had solid match vs Samsunspor but lost 3-2 at the end by last minute goal. Team looks weak , I rate them already bottom-6 team. Roco, Kranevitter and Sivri are out for injury.
Trabzonspor invested a lot, but they have wrong manager i think, all 6 finished unders and never scored more than 1. He is trying to take 1-0 victories in a row. This match can be first they will score minimum 2. Ukrainian center back Batagov is solid while Nigerian Onuachu is 2.01 cm find it easy to score headers. 
Defener Yokuslu is still out for red card. They have won 7 of last 10 meetings and this away is not away trip as they have many fans in Istanbul. 

It looks like good spot to get first victory for manager Postecoglou in Notthingham. Stats may show us wrong side as Notthingham had only 2 home games, won the season opening game vs Brentford 3-1 and lost 0-3 to West Ham when they were 1.70 favourite. IT will be first home match after 1 month.
Nottingham finished 7th last year to join Europe after long years. They had successful results vs bottom-7 teams, 12W-2D in 14 matches. This is the reason i back them today. 
Sunderland is missing Reinildo due to red card. Sunderland promooted to PRemier League this year after finishing Championships 4th. They had 3W-6D-5L record vs Top-8 teams in Championships last year. So so or average i think. They need more than average today vs European competition team. 

Match of the day without doubt. Diege Simeone is in trouble as fans also started to protest him after bad start. It is just 6 matches playes but Real Madrid has already double point gap. 
Lenglet and Le Normand so far had bad matches vs Liverpool and Mallorca. They conceded very easy goals. Simeone likes to use Llorente as midfielder but due to missing players and defensive concerns he gives him right back position. 
5 of the last 7 matches finished draw and Real Madrid got only 3 wins on last 18 away derby. However, Real Madrid should feel lucky to catch bad Atletico and they have plenty of offensive options. 

I wanted to stay on asian handicaps but i also like Galatasaray win + over 2.5 goals which is 2.03 odds i took.

Gala is 6/6 at league. Their mafia season continue with referees. It will be their best start ever if they win today. They got 5-1 ugly defeat in Frankfurt and 4 days before they will host Liverpool they will be in Alanya.

Gala has won last 5 meetings. Osimhen backs to team and can play at second half.

Alanyaspor beaten Besiktas at home and got draw away to Fenerbahce. I think both 2 were lucky. IT won\'t work today.
They play 3-4-3 style which can be very easy result for Gala if they play same.

Alanyaspor is also 3rd worst team in league in terms of meeting the ball in the penalty area. They rely on counter attack football by Ogundu.

Barcelona started to get easy victories while Yamal was also out. Rashford and Raphinha played at second half of match vs Getafe. They can play longer minutes today. Bench players Olmo, Fermin and Ferran also contribute to score. For that reason they got positive results at away also.

Barcelona is 10W-4D-1L on last 15 away matches.

Oviedo looks the weakest side of La Liga. They may return to lower division after they promoted this summer. Scored only 1 goal in 5 matches. Opponents had 10-10-6-3-5 shots on target. Barcelona won\\\'t forgive this kind of easy shots on goal.

They got very fair result at 4-0 vs Girona after several weeks with good football. They mostly start very agressive at home matches. They scored 2 goals vs Betis and Barcelona on last 2 home matches.

Villarreal striker Eyong joined team which will be very + for home team. I think they needed exactly same style for their offense.

Real Madrid did rotation at weekend vs Espanyol. Xabi is trying rotation in tight fixture. It is usally tough away trip for them, only 1 win for Real Madrid on last 5.

I think Levante will find score.

Fiorentina is still without a victory. Recently they lost 1-3 to Napoli at home, we had btts pick on that match as winner and for that reason i watched some. To be honestly, i was expecting more tough match but could not push Napoli at all. Goal came after 0-3.

Como 1907 created solid team i think, consist of young talents + some veterans. They were leading at home vs Genoa but got draw by last minute goal.

Fio manager Pioli is under manager and a home goal should be must while they are still bad at defence. Faced 16 shots on target after 3 matches make them worst 3 team.

Karagumruk got 2-1 away victory to Antalyaspor and lost other 3 matches. 2 of 3 defeats were normal against stronger teams. They promoted to Super League this season. 

Interestingly, Karagumruk is 5W-3D vs Basaksehir on their last 8 meetings. 

Basaksehir is without a win on the last 6 official matches at league and Conference League. However, this match can be the beginning of the new streak. New appointed manager Nuri Sahin will take his first match. Nuri Sahin was assistant manager of Dortmund under Tezic when they reached Champions League final 2 years ago than Nuri Sahin became manager of Dortmund for 27 matches last year. Team consist of high level players, it looks like lovely spot for reaction after bad results and gift for new manager.