While Osasuna is missing the two Garcias (Ruben and Raul), they always find an extra gear for derbies. Sociedad is an \"all-attack\" side under their current manager, prioritizing high-pressing over defensive stability.

Sociedad has seen goals at both ends in 6 of their last 8 home games. Despite Osasuna’s narrow rotation, they are fighting to stay ahead of Espanyol in the European race.

A high-intensity derby where both teams have European ambitions. One goal opens the floodgates.

With Inter dropping points against Atalanta, Milan can cut the gap to 5 points. This is their season-defining moment.

Lazio is in disarray. Starting keeper Ivan Provedel is OUT, and key midfielders Rovella and Cataldi are sidelined. They are forced to play Patric (a defender) in the midfield.

Even with Rabiot suspended for Milan, the gulf in quality is massive. Lazio has only 2 wins in their last 9 at the Olimpico. Milan\'s Rafael Leão (9 goals) against a backup keeper is the primary mismatch here.

Maximum motivation meets a decimated Lazio squad. Milan to take all 3 points

Real Madrid is decimated with 10 players out (Mbappé, Bellingham, Rodrygo, Militão). More importantly, they are down to just 14 first-team players.

While Madrid still has the quality to score, their makeshift defense is physically exhausted after the Man City clash. Elche has scored in their last 13 away matches and already held Madrid to a 2-2 draw earlier this season.

The bookies are pricing this on the \"Real Madrid\" name, not the actual 14 tired players available. Value is massive on Elche finding the net. Elche finds it easy to score when opponents make heavy offensive line up.

This is a fierce regional derby where form often goes out the window, but the goals remain constant. Trabzonspor has scored in 14 consecutive matches, led by Paul Onuachu (21 goals). However, their defensive transition is leaking, having conceded in 4 straight league games.

Rizespor is on a 3-game winning streak and has scored in their last 4 away trips. Historical H2H is a goal-fest: 8 of the last 10 meetings have seen BTTS land.

Rizespor has became more \'\'a\'\' team since Recep Ucar took charge. They have good counter attack style players who have very high change to score against Trabzonspor which gave many goal chances to Kayserispor last weekend despite 3-1 away win.

Both teams have 25 points from their last 10 games—the best in the league. Gala is coming off a massive 1-0 win over Liverpool in the UCL, but they are missing defensive anchor Abdulkerim Bardakci (suspension) and Leroy Sane due to red card.

With Osimhen (12 goal involvements in 8 games) and Icardi starting, Gala will score. But Başakşehir has won 5 straight away games and faces a Gala side that hasn\'t kept a domestic clean sheet in 4 matches.

Two attacking giants in peak form. This is the \"Sharp\" play of the Turkish slate.As Fenerbahçe lost last night, Gala may due heavy rotation today to focus Liverpool away match. Therefore, Basaksehir +1 can also be a value pick after official line ups.

1- Turkish 1. Lig
Umraniyespor v Erzurumspor
Erzurumspor to win 1.719
Stake: 2 units

Erzurumspor is currently 1st in the 1. Lig and in terrifying form. They are coming off a record-breaking 8-1 win against Manisa FK just four days ago. They haven\'t lost a league game in over a month and have won their last 12 matches in 1. Lig.

Erzurumspor has conceded only 20 goals in 29 games this season (0.69 per match). They face an Ümraniyespor side sitting in 15th, struggling for goals, and lucky to have scraped a win against Sarıyer last week.

Erzurumspor is currently averaging 4.2 goals per match over their last five outings. Against a bottom-five defense, the 1.719 is good spot for me.

Athletic Bilbao is missing their most dangerous weapon—Nico Williams (Groin). Without his pace, they struggle to exploit Barcelona’s high defensive line.

Both teams were just knocked out of the Copa del Rey. Hansi Flick’s Barca is at the top of the table and hasn\'t conceded a goal to Bilbao in their last 4 meetings. Barça is 9-0 goals on last 2 matches.

Bilbao played a grueling 120-minute Basque derby midweek. They are exhausted. Barca’s rotation and superior fitness should see a clear 2-0 or 3-1 victory.

Istanbul Derby today. Galatasaray is top of the league but struggle obviously on last 1 month. Their football is not trustable.

Beşiktaş has won 8 of their last 10 home derbies against Gala. They are unbeaten in 17 matches and score for easily at home (2.67 per match). Especially since new Korean striker Oh Hyun Gyu joined team in January.

Gala averages 2.4 goals but has conceded in 6 straight. In an Istanbul derby with these missing defenders, a 2-1 or 2-2 result is almost guaranteed.

Atalanta has won 5 of their last 6 home games, including a 2-1 win over Napoli. They are the masters of \"beating the bottom half\" at the Gewiss Stadium. They are coming off shocking Sassuolo defeat vs 10 man. It was first loss after 9.

Udinese is defensively weak against set-pieces (conceded 5 recently). Atalanta leads the league in headed goals and corner efficiency.

Udinese makes it tough, but they\'ve lost their last two away games. They had midweek Lazio cup match. They were in bad shape on last 1 month, looks very fragile team recently.

Dortmund is in 2nd far from title race (52 pts to 66 Bayern) while Köln is sinking in 13th. Köln is missing more than 5 injuries (Hübers, Thielmann, Maina, etc.).

Niko Kovac has a dominant record against Köln (7 wins in 10). Dortmund has scored in 4 straight away games and faces a Köln side that has failed to win in 6 of their last 8 home matches.

Dortmund is hurted on last 2 weeks, as eliminated to Atalanta after 2-0 home win but lost 4-1 in Italy than 2-3 home defeat to Bayern. It can be reaction or wake up match for them.

Dortmund is currently 12W-2D against bottom half teams.

Milan is on a mission to lock down a UCL spot. After a frustrating slip-up against Parma last week, manager Allegri is demanding a clinical response. They face a \"free-falling\" Cremonese side that is winless in 12 matches, only 4 points and decimated by injuries to their defensive spine (Baschirotto and Payero are out).

The gap in quality is immense. With Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic fully fit and starting, Milan’s transition play will be too fast for a makeshift Cremonese backline. Expect Milan to dominate the half-spaces and finish this early.

Cremonese has struggled to score all year (0.9 goals/match).

Fenerbahçe is in a neck-and-neck title race with Galatasaray and has zero margin for error. After a midweek European disappointment, they are refocusing 100% on the league. Antalya, meanwhile, has been struggling for consistency with only 2 wins in their last 8.

Marco Asensio and Kerem Aktürkoğlu have been lethal on the break. Antalyaspor’s high defensive line is a tactical \"gift\" for Fener’s creative midfielders like Guendouzi.

Fener has won 8 of the last 10 H2H meetings against Antalya. This is our high-confidence play of the day. A focused 1-2 or 0-2 away win keeps the title dream alive.

This isn\'t just a game; it\'s a war for the city of Seville. Form usually goes out the window, but both sides arrive with defensive issues. Betis is missing key center-back Valentin Gomez (suspension), while Sevilla’s defense has been porous all season.

Manuel Pellegrini’s Betis always plays on the front foot at home, but they’ve been vulnerable to the counter. Sevilla, under Matias Almeyda, has become a \"chaos\" team—unpredictable and prone to individual errors, yet capable of scoring in bunches.

This fixture has averaged nearly 3 goals for long years. With the emotional intensity of a derby and depleted defensive lines, a 1-1 or 2-1 result is the statistical favorite.

United is unbeaten in 10, but Palace has historically been a nightmare at Old Trafford (winning their last two visits). Oliver Glasner’s men are coming off a 2-0 European win and have found a \"Bus-Parking\" defensive rhythm that frustrates the big sides.

United is missing Lisandro Martinez and De Ligt, leaving a makeshift Maguire-Yoro partnership. If Palace’s Ismaïla Sarr or Strand Larsen catch them on the break, United will struggle to win by more than one goal.

This isn\'t just a second leg; it\'s a mission. The racial abuse directed at Vinícius Jr. in the first leg has unified the Madrid squad. Manager Alvaro Arbeloa confirmed Vini is \"very eager and motivated.\" Expect his teammates, especially Kylian Mbappé (who was vocal in defending Vini in Lisbon), to play with a ferocious intensity to \"protect\" their star man.

Benfica arrives in Madrid without Gianluca Prestianni (suspended for the incident) and without José Mourinho on the touchline (sent off in the first leg). The Portuguese side is \"leaderless\" in a hostile Bernabéu environment.

Real Madrid has progressed in 22 of their last 23 UCL ties after winning the first leg. At the Bernabéu, they are a machine that thrives on these high-tension nights.

Between the tactical superiority and the massive emotional fuel for Vinícius to \"answer on the pitch,\" Madrid is primed for a dominant win. The -0.75 AH protects us significantly while offering a great return on a clear home victory.

Atalanta is down 0-2 and \"La Dea\" only knows one way to respond: Total Attack. In Bergamo, they are a goal-scoring whirlwind. Dortmund, meanwhile, is the ultimate \"chaos\" team of this tournament, lethal on the counter but fragile at the back.

Dortmund averages over 2 goals per game in Europe. Serhou Guirassy is in world-class form, and with Atalanta forced to push their wing-backs high, BVB will find acres of space to score.

Atalanta has scored 2+ goals in each of their last six home games. They will likely find the net, but in doing so, they will leave the door wide open for Dortmund to kill the tie. A 2-1 or 2-2 result is the statistical favorite here.

This is a battle for 4th place. While Beşiktaş is on a 15-match unbeaten run, they have been far from convincing, often relying on 90th-minute miracles (like their 3-2 win over Başakşehir). Göztepe, on the other hand, is the \"immovable object\" of the league, boasting the best defensive record in the Süper Lig.

Göztepe is unbeaten in their last 8 matches. Historically, Beşiktaş has struggled in this fixture, failing to win any of their last four meetings.

With Beşiktaş missing Ndidi and potentially El Bilal Touré, their midfield control is weakened. Göztepe’s disciplined backline is designed to frustrate teams at the Tüpraş Stadium. Even if Beşiktaş wins by one, our stake is returned. The +1 AH is a high-security play.

Gian Piero Gasperini’s Roma is hunting the Top 4 and they have a \"bully\" reputation against lower-tier sides. Cremonese is sliding toward relegation and hasn\'t won a game since December.

Roma is the best home defensive team in Italy, conceding only 6 goals in 12 matches at the Olimpico. January signing Donyell Malen is in \"God Mode,\" scoring 5 goals in his first 5 games.

Roma has won all four games against promoted sides this season by an aggregate score of 7-1. Against a Cremonese side that can\'t score, failed to win on last 11.

Also, Cremonese GK Audero is saving team obviously. He had 6 saves vs Juventus even they lost it 5-0, 7 saves vs Atalanta.

The \"Derby de la Comunitat.\" Villarreal is 3rd and flying, but they have a defensive injury crisis with Logan Costa and Juan Foyth out. Valencia is fighting for survival and has been surprisingly clinical on the counter lately.

Both teams enter this following wins over Levante in midweek, fatigue factor for them. Villarreal has cleared the BTTS line in 60% of their recent home games. Valencia’s Hugo Duro is back in form, and Villarreal’s high defensive line is vulnerable to his runs.

Villarreal\'s attack (Pépé and Mikautadze) is too good not to score at home, but their makeshift defense guarantees Valencia will have 2-3 high-quality chances.

Galatasaray is in a ferocious title race with Fenerbahçe and cannot afford any slips. They arrive in Konya with sky-high morale after thrashing Juventus 5-2 in the Champions League on Tuesday. Konyaspor is currently 14th and struggling for consistency under new manager Ulhan Palut who has very poor record vs elite teams.

Gala has dominated this fixture, winning 8 of the last 10 head-to-heads. While coach Okan Buruk might rotate slightly, the depth of this squad—featuring Mauro Icardi, and İlkay Gündoğan as back up —is far beyond Konyaspor\'s reach. Konyaspor is failed to win on last 12 matches and lost their top scorer (Umut Nayir to Trabzonspor) in the winter. Also, weird that their team captain and best player Guilherme is out of squad by president ( who has links to Galatasaray)

Gala is the most clinical away team in the league. The -1 Asian Handicap offers great protection; if they win by 1, we push (money back), but a 2-goal margin (like a 0-2 or 1-3) is very likely given Konya’s defensive gaps.

t looks like Real and Barça will have up and downs until the end of season. They travel to North Spain after Portugal trip vs Benfica with Mourinho.

Real Madrid is the league leader, but they are traveling to the \"El Sadar\" fortress without defensive anchor Eder Militao. Osasuna is famously stubborn at home and always raises their game for the \"Royal\" visit.

Madrid’s attack is unstoppable, scoring in 18 consecutive matches. However, they have shown vulnerability on the counter, and Osasuna’s Ante Budimir is in peak form. Osasuna has scored in 8 of their last 10 home games.

Madrid will find the net through Mbappé or Vinícius. But in Pamplona, the atmosphere often drags Madrid into a shootout. 1-2 or 1-3 i think ideal.

3rd vs 15th. Unai Emery has turned Villa Park into a high-scoring theater. Leeds under Scott Parker is fighting for survival and has abandoned their \"parking the bus\" strategy for a more aggressive approach.

Villa averages 2.15 goals at home. Leeds matches have seen Over 2.5 land in 4 of their last 5 away trips. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended 2-1 for Villa.

With Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers in elite form, Villa can hit this over by themselves. Leeds is likely to contribute at least one on the break.

Juventus is reeling from a massive 5-2 European loss and is missing several key defenders, including Bremer and Kalulu. Como, coached by Cesc Fàbregas, is the \"BTTS King\" of Italy right now—they just drew 1-1 with Milan and play a fearless, high-possession style.

Juve’s striker crisis (Vlahović/David injured) means they are less clinical, but Kenan Yıldız is a constant threat. Como has scored against almost every big team they\'ve faced this season.

Juve at the Allianz usually wins, but they are exhausted and defensively thin. It may be sorry match to fans but at the same time they might be fatigued and focus on the 2nd leg of Champions League which will be after 4 days.

Just last month, Milan beat Como 3-1, but the scoreline didn\'t tell the whole story. Cesc Fabregas’s side played dominant possession football and were unlucky not to score more. Tonight, at the San Siro, Milan is looking to close the gap on Inter, while Como is looking to prove their \"Giant Killer\" status.

BTTS has landed in each of the last 4 meetings between these two clubs. Milan is on a 23-match unbeaten streak but has shown a tendency to switch off defensively—they conceded to 19th-placed Pisa last Friday. Como’s attack is led by Nico Paz and Anastasios Douvikas, who have combined for 15 league goals.

Milan is missing Adrien Rabiot due to red card which weakens their midfield shield. Como has scored in 4 of their last 5 games. Given the historical trend of 2-1 results in this fixture, BTTS is the strongest statistical play on the board.

This is a preview of the upcoming Coppa Italia semi-final that they will play on 4 March and form favors the visitors. Under Raffaele Palladino, Atalanta has been transformed, winning 7 of their last 10 league games.

Lazio has been inconsistent at the Stadio Olimpico, failing to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches. Meanwhile, Atalanta\'s defense is elite right now, conceding only 2 goals in their last 7 Serie A outings.

Verdict: With Lazio prioritizing the Cup and Atalanta chasing the Top 4, the visitors\' physical intensity should overwhelm a tired Lazio midfield. The AH 0 provides the safety net if it ends in a stalemate.

Valentine\'s Day brings the most intense rivalry in Italy. While Inter are league leaders, they have historically struggled in \"Direct Encounters\" this season, winning only once against the current Top 4.

Luciano Spalletti has made Juventus again tough team to beat. Juve has avoided defeat in 13 of their 20 matches this season. Inter is coming off a massive 5-0 win over Sassuolo, but Juve’s low-block defense is a much tougher nut to crack.

Juve will play for the point to stay in the title race. +0.5 covers both the draw and the upset win.

Real Madrid is on a 7-match winning streak. They see this as the perfect chance to leapfrog Barcelona at the top of the table.

Real Sociedad is decimated. They are missing their best creative player, Takefusa Kubo, and their midfield anchor, Brais Méndez (suspended). Real Madrid welcomes back Vinícius Jr. from suspension and Kylian Mbappé is confirmed fit.

Sociedad has been brave this season, but without Kubo’s outlet on the wing, they will be pinned back at the Bernabéu. They had extra midweek Cup match vs Bilbao in high tension. Manager Matarazzo likes rotation.

This is a \"trap\" game for 4th-placed Bodrumspor. Keciorengucu may be 9th, but they are the most dangerous \"road team\" in the league for BTTS and counter-attacks. They lost their 3 key players in January + forward Brazao is suspended.

Keciorengucu has a dominant H2H record, winning the reverse fixture 2-1 and losing only once in their last 5 meetings with Bodrum. Bodrumspor hasn\'t drawn a game in a month—they are due for a \"correction\" against a side that loves to sit back and frustrate.

Keciorengucu lost only 1 game on last 9, on uptrend with new manager Yalcin.

Despite the managerial merry-go-round, Leverkusen’s squad is still elite. Under Hjulmand, they have returned to a high-possession, attacking style. St. Pauli is struggling significantly with injuries to their backline and has the worst goal-difference in the league.

Leverkusen is 100% focused on the Top 4 for CL ticket. They beat St. Pauli 3-0 on Feb 3rd in the DFB-Pokal, and today should be a repeat performance.

St. Pauli is 17th in the table and has conceded 10 goals in their last 4 away trips. With Patrik Schick and Malik Tillman in form, a win by 2+ goals is the most likely outcome in the Bundesliga today.

Hansi Flick has turned Barcelona into a goal-scoring machine. They have scored at least twice in 6 straight games and their last 7 fixtures across all competitions have all cleared the Over 2.5 line. Even with Marcus Rashford and Raphinha ruled out tonight, the depth is scary: Ferran Torres (16 goals this season) steps in alongside the in-form Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo.

Diego Simeone’s Atleti at home is no longer the \"bus-parking\" team of old. 10 of their last 14 home matches have featured Over 2.5 goals. They are coming off a confidence-boosting 5-0 thrashing of Real Betis in the previous round, with Ademola Lookman and Julian Alvarez finding perfect chemistry.

Barrios is out of injury, big miss for them cause Llorente and Koke can not show same skills.

Barcelona’s high defensive line is a \"risk vs. reward\" strategy. It traps teams offside, but when it fails, it leads to high-xG breakaways for clinical finishers like Griezmann. With both teams desperate to take an advantage into the second leg, and Barca’s defense missing Pedri’s control in midfield, the game is likely to become an end-to-end track meet.

Lecce is 3W-4D-7L while Pisa is with only 1W-7D-6L both are 17th and 18th.

Lecce lost to Cremonese after beating Torino at Stadio Via del Mare in Lecce. They are having unsteady performance.

Pisa is coming to this match losing 2 matches in a row, Inter than Parma at home.Before,they were unbeaten on 6 matches streak. They are obvious Serie-B level team but i think much better than bottom-5 teams. Consist of some young talents along with many national team players. Only key missing Angola national player Nzola is suspended.

Pisa were able to score first on their last 2 away matches vs Sassuolo and Torino. 3rd one was vs AC Milan and it was also 2-2 draw.

None of them deserve to be favourite but i think Lecce + handicaps are more value.

Pafos was very lucky to be honestly, light fixture and able to get point even they played bad. It will be a tough away trip to Turin.

Pafos had 0-0 Olympiacos and 0-0 Kairat Almaty matches on away.

Juventus has only 1 victory, it looks like to me exactly a momentum match. Opponent is very suitable with their game sets. Juventus won all 6 previous matches versus Cyprus teams with 25-3 goal differential.

Spaletti got first defeat vs Napoli since he took the job to break their 3 matches winning streak.

Both teams have dark clouds over their heads. Expectation and reality is totally different for both of them.

I think some players manipulate Xabi Alonso very obviously. Same players forced to leave Ancelotti and i think this time they should fine these players.

It is very rare to have Real Madrid underdog odds at home, they have 3rd longest home scoring stats at UCL.

City has won only 1 out of 6 away matches at UCL. Pep Guardiola is also without a win on last 4 vs Real Madrid. They have more ready players comparing to Real missing Militao recently as well as Alaba, Camavinga, Carvajal and Mendy. But still Real is Real in Madrid. I just take + handicap on Madrid.

Mourinho versus Conte. Mourinho got very late job position from Fenerbahce to Benfica just after last round of CL. He is 1W-4L after 5 matches, only win vs last ranking Ajax. His football is already out of fashion, only complains and park the bus.

Napoli despite injury problems, able to get victories big thanks to Conte. They are coming off 2-1 Juventus victory. They will have advantage to play as underdog, or more likely to punish If Benfica will try to control the ball.

Conte has won 5, Mourinho won 2 and 1 match finished draw on their 8 manager meetings since 2009.

Atalanta finally got better results since they changed manager Juric to Italian Palladino. He is 3W-2L no. All 3 wins were win to nil.

Atalanta is doing good, 10 points in 5, high chance for Top-8. It is 2nd season in a row at CL, they did 8 clean sheets on last 15 Champions League match.

Chelsea 2D-1L on last 3 Premier League matches, on decreasing performance + they are without a away win on last 4 trips. Also, they conceded at least 1 away goal on 9 of 10 away trips at Champions League level.

I favour Atalanta today.

Barcelona is favourite, should be home win but i\'m not sure about handicap. Even, I think Frankfurt can compete for point.. 2-0,3-1,4-2 all this type of victories are also even will be winner for this pick.

Too many injured players but they somehow score more than concede. Last matches 5-3,3-1,3-1,4-0,4-2 victories while lost 3-0 to Chelsea at CL on last 6 official matches.


Araujo is suspended and Olmo is injured for Barça while Burkardt and Batshuayi had injury at league match vs Leipzig.

Frankfurt can stay in the handicap.

Inter got 3 league victories in a row after losing 2-1 to Atl Madrid by 90+ goal at CL. Cristian Chivu team is having very strong home performance at European level, 15W and only 3 draws on last 18 home matches.

It should increase confidence easily. 4 of 5 victories were against English teams.

Liverpool is dismal this season, Salah is new big test on club and between players. Many footballers have problem with Arne Slot. I would never trust a team in this condition.

Gaziantep is playing unsteady football, they usually wait mistake from opponent initially. They lost 2-1 to Eyupspor but more importantly Eyupspor dominated the game from the beginning.

Gaziantep manager Burak Yilmaz was top goal scorer of Besiktas in the past and he had short time manager time in Besiktas which ended bad records. They have currently only 1 win on last 5 but they scored at least once in 10 of 12 matches since manager Burak Yilmaz took charge.

Besiktas failed to win last 3 home matches, all 6 finished btts.

Osasuna got only 1 victory by more than 1 goal differential in 14 matches this season. They are 2D-4L on last 6 without a win so i\'m little bit sceptical about being favourite tonight.

Levante got 7 of 9 points on away matches, more they scored at least once in 6 of 8 games. Their game style is also more suitable for away. They will have opponent which needs to attack for home win.

I like Levante striker Etta Eyong alongside with Alvarez. They lost 4 matches in a row, i think they deserved at least 2 points on these 4 matches period. Last time Levante lost 5 matches in a row was in 2011. I think they will do anything that stat is coming today.

Istanbulspor is without a win on last 9. Manager Alper Avci left, 33yo young manager Baris Kanbak took position. It will be his first manager experience.

Sivasspor is one of the most surprise team in 1. Lig after they relegated from Super League. They were Top-5 candidate on pre-season market and expert analysis but they will fight for relegation. Midfielder Yigiter is suspended.

I expect goalless match for a long time if no early surprise goal or penalty kick.

Roma hast lost very key 3 points last weekend when they lost home match to Napoli for title fight.

Cagliari had midweek Napoli Cup match which ended 1-1 but lost on penalties after 2-1 defeat to Juventus at league. They scored first but Juve youngstar Yildiz scored 2 goals to changed game.

Cagliari is 4D-5L on last 9 league match, desperate to win. They have problem to finishing. 0.87 xG per match makes them 19th the worst 2nd in league despite ranking 15th for points.

Roma has become more winner team with Gasperini. They play even much better on away matches, 1.51 xG per away match with 1L-5W away record i feel they can take this match easily.

Match of the weekend in Italy. Despite injury problems on Napoli they were able to beat Atalanta than Roma. We enjoyed winner on Roma match. They hardly beaten Cagliaria on midweek cup match. Lobotka is another injured players before this game.

Juventus got 3 victories in a row with Spalletti. Vlahovic is out but Yildiz and Jonathan David are enough to be dangerous.
Juventus manager Spalletti worked for Napoli for 2 years before while Napoli manager Conte worked for Juventus for 3 years before. So, both names know club cultures very well.

I think hard to find winner on this game, I will take + handicaps and enjoy the match.

Real Madrid finally got easy 3-0 victory vs Bilbao after 3 draws in a row at league. Barça won yesterday, 4 points gap now for them.

Celta is pushing offensive football regardless of opponent. PBalaidos side do not care they give empty space at own space or no which Mbappe and Vinicous will enjoy playing tonight.

Their recent meetings finished 3-2,5-2,2-1 and 4-0 by 4 wins in a row by Real Madrid. I expect 3-1 or similar style result.

Real Madrid has 2.43 xG per home match while Celta has 1.26 xG per away match which is actually better than their home stats.

fulham lost 4-5 to Man City 5 days ago on incredible match while C palace got 1-0 away win vs Burnley 4 days ago. Fulham has 1 day extra rest.

Fulham is trying to get away from relegation spot after 2 wins a row at sunderland and on away to Tottenham on last 2 weeks. Portuguese manager Marco Silva prepares his team at own turf Craven Cottage very well, 13 of 17 league points came at home. Only Arsenal and Man City got victory here.

C Palace is 4W-1D-2L on away league matches but 3 of them were against bottom-3 teams Wolves + Burnley and West Ham. I think we still need time if their 6th spot is well deserved or no.

Both teams doing solid defence, 3 of 4 home wins came by win to nil
C Palace did clean sheet on 4 of 7 away matches.

If it will be low scoring game again, It should be by Fulham side victory at the end.

Both teams had a midweek matches vs Barcelona and Real Madrid. Bilbao was on wednesday while Atl Madrid had on Tuesday, they hVe 1 day extra rest.

Both teams have missings, same political tension between clubs. Madrid side have much better roster.

Atalanta passed big crisis and ready to make new transfers. They got 4-0 Genoa win at Cup. They scored 9 goals with 3 wins on last 3. Manager Palladino changed team momentum quickly. I hardly oppose them today.

Verona is still wtihout a win for a long time , they scored but concede very easily in every match. I favour them to score today. I jist not sure +0.75 Verona, so i tKe goals.

Basaksehir has stability problem, 1 match they play good after 1 match but they play very bad

Center back Opopku and Selke are suspended.

Fenerbahce got draw with Galatasaray on monday night after 5 matches winning streak. Oosterwelde is suspended but they have good roster to back up.

Colombian wonderkid Duran is in form, scored in derby and most probably start today.

To be honestly, big referee scandal decision happened last night on Gala Samsun match that referee didn’t give obvious penalty to Samsunspor on 90+5 and match finsihed 3-2.

It may be big problem if referee mistake happen if Fener lose point by referee decision. Fenerbahce will also win today.

Gala got 1 win on last 4, still league leader by 1 point difference. They were able to got 1 point on Monday night vs Fenerbahce. Sallai is suspended, Singo and Jakobs are out, Metehan is arrested due to match betting on his matches. There are still mini chaos on club with external news between club and political situation.

Galatasaray president Dursun Ozbetk started to talk with federation and politicians + too many media talks on last 3 weeks since they started to drop points. It is almost non-sense their tradition to gain new momentum with giving ultimatum to referees and federation.

Only because of this reason, I believe Gala home win will be easy today. Expecting red cards to Samsunspor.

Normally, Samsunspor lost only 1 on 11 away matches. They do good at league and Europe but their president is Galatasaray member, 2 of key players are rental from Galata as well.

I may add 1 more pick on Oviedo v Mallorca game later.

3 away matches in a row and 3 draws as a result lost leadership to Barcelona. I think problem is obvious Mbappe is only goal scorer of team. Vinicius is without high scoring profile comparing to last years. Bellingham is without a position, Real Madrid started to play bad and lose points since he is back from injury. He lose position in offence and midfield area. Arda Guler was leading team with assits when he played as 10 but he is now more likely 6-8 with Bellingham on pitch.

Bilbao also not good this season, started very bad while Nico was out. He is back but not %100 like last year. Sance and Inaki are out for sure today.

Due to political tension between clubs, it is always very tough to play. \'\' not to lose\'\' is 1st option 8 of last 10 meeting finished under 2.5 goals. But today, Alonso is in a position must win. Time to reaction match for Real Madrid. They won 7 of last 10, my 1 unit deserves Real today.

Leeds lost 4 matches in a row, looking for at least 1 point but 3 of 4 were on away. Despite losses, they fought hard 3-2 Man City, 1-2 Aston Vlila, 3-1 Nott Forest. They scored at least 1 in 5/6 home matches.

Chelsea down to 10 but managed to got 1-1 draw vs Arsenal. Impressive result for them to extend unbeaten series to last 7 matches.

4 red cards for Chelsea in 13 makes them the most aggressive team in the league make me feel suspicious today after a well deserved Arsenal victory.

Araujo, Gavi and Fermin Lopez out for Barça while Llorente and Le Normand are injured for Atl Madrid.

There will Spain Super Cup matches on 11 January for that reason they play 19th week matches earlier.

Barcelona lost El Classico to Real but Real lost so many easy points after surprisingly. Barça took leadership without convincing football and defence. They are ranking 11st in terms of giving big goal chances 1.30 xGa per match.
They are leader just because they score more than they concede. Pedri and Raphinha are back to XI today.

Atl Madrid is 1.85 xG stats per match, comparing to 2.45 xG at home.. Some away matches reduced even their record but this match they can effort maximum.

Since Baena took playmaker role, he manages team very well. On stats he has only 1 goal and 1 assists but he has so many contribution to scores, giving key passes to assist player than pass to goal scorer. It is a missing stats in modern football.
Julian Alvarez- Baena- Nico and Simeone will start most probably and they are hard to stop.

Sörlöth and Griezmann can take minutes at second half who can also score.

Leipzig is coming off 0-0 away draw to Borussia which was in good form recently. They are 2nd by 8W-2D-2L record maybe they enjoy no midweek Europe matches this year.

Magdeburg is in lower division, at the bottom league 3W-1D-10L. They rely on set pieces this season which doesn\'t work well so far.

Leipzig wants to progress until finals this season. They are 2nd best home team with 2.17 xG per match only Bayern Munich has more than 2 xG in Bundeliga.

One of the most hottest derby in Europe. Fenerbahce is on a good path with Dominic Tedesco since Jose Mourinho left in the beginning of early season. Tedesco is 9W-5D-1L since he took job.

Galatasaray is kind of in mini chaos. osimhen and Lemina are back to starting XI. They have 1 point edge and Okan Buruk scares a lot if they will lose he may lose his position as well. They did good defensive tactics vs Liverpool and on other matches too comparing to last season big matches.

Only 5 of last 26 matches finished over 3.5 goals. It is a huge trend and shows obvious both teams focus not to lose derby firstly.

I have lean on Fenerbahce to win but i think under 3 goal is better today.

I was expecting starting line ups and no surprise.. Sallai is suspended. Galatasaray is using 3 defensive midfielders Lemina, Torreria and Sara.

Bologna is on a good form. They got 3 victories in a row. Napoli and Udinese matches were well deserved. They are coming off 4-1 Europa League win over Salzburg and i feel active rest day for them tonight.

Cremonese newly promoted team but made a good start with Milan victory on season opening match. They lost 3 matches in a row, but still lost more than 1 goal difference only 2 of 12 matches.

Bologna is favourite but i don\'t think it will be very easy. Draw won\'t be surprise and if Bolgona win by 1 goal only we can get half win.

Sociedad got only 1 win in first 9 league matches but after they won 3 of last 4. Osasuna, Bilbao and Sevilla all are same level teams. It is also becaues they finally give more minutes to Brais and Guedes. However, Oyarzabal is out today. I think Sociedad is almost %60 with Oyarzabal. They look unorganized when he doesn\'t play.

Villarreal lost only 2/13 league matches despite bad record at Champions League 1D and lost all 4. They rested some players in midweek even.. It looks like they already gave up to give max effort at Europe.

Villarreal offensive power deserve to be favourite on this match.
It was btts pick for me in midweek but after Oyarzabal is out i\'m %60 on Villarreal side.

Karagumruk is ranking last but there are some good momentum recently. They got 6 points on last 4, also scored in last 4 of 5. Onur Can Korkmaz took charge as manager recently.

Besiktas is having chaotic season. Team legendary Sergen Yalcin also could not stop bad streak. 6W-3D-4L results in 13 matches are bad for a team which targets Top-3.
Team playmaker Rafa Silva had problem with manager Yalcin and declares won\'t play anymore. Striker Tony Abraham will start from bench to change tactics.

Karagumruk can benefit counter attack football today, they won\'t be very easy bite.

Inter lost Milano derby when their best player and kicker Calhanoglu missed penalty. After that they lost to Atl Madrid in midweek by last minute goal. Time to wake up and show reaction.

Pisa conceded 90+5 goal vs Sassuolo and got draw. They are without a defeat on last 6, but got 5 draws.

Inter needs convincing victory today, they can score at both halves even easily.

Thanks to their El Classico victory, Real Madrid is still league leader despite 2 draws on last 2. They got 4-3 victory in Greece in midweek. No problem for scoring, only team struggle when Bellingham plays. Bellingham - Mbappe- Vinicius are hard to manage all together and it seems to me Bellingham is too selfish. Playmaker Arda Guler creates more xG and give better goal chances to Mbappe and Vinicius.

Girona is at the bottom of league, 2W-5D-6L. They always struggle vs Real Madrid, 0-3 , 0-3, 4-2, 1-3 and 1-4 are last 5 matches when they hosted Real.

It can start controversial topics over Alonso if they can\'t win 3 matches in a row.

Match of the day in UK. Both are in good form, Chelsea beaten Barcelona 3-0 while Arsenal beaten Bayern Munich 3-1 at Champions League in midweek. Same conditions for match fixture.

Cole Palmer is still out for home team as important missing while Arsenal is missing Viktor Gyökeres, Gabriel , Havertz as long term for key missings.

Desptie 3rd ranking for Chelsea, they are 13th for home standings and lost Sunderland and Brighton at home.

Arteta has created title deserved team, became very elite team. Arteta team scored 2 or moe goals on last 6.

Arsenal lost only 3 London derbies on last 40 meetings.
Chelsea has only 1 victory against Arsenal on last 11 Premier League meetings.
Arsenal conceded more than 1 goal only in 1 match on last 14 matches, it was Bournemouth in 3 May. Opponents struggle to score against Arsenal obviously.

Pama got very important Verona victory after AC Milan draw. These 2 results direclty shorted their odds today. That i don\'t agree.

Udinese has lost last 2 Roma and Bologna, i think both were solid and can be understandable. It is also their reason higher odds.

Parma is more suitable opponent for Udinese to take 3 points. Udinese is unbeaten against teams starting this round below them 3W-3D.

Trabzonspor got last moment victory by long shot against Basaksehir. It was expected low scoring game but finished 3-4. Trabzonspor is trailing Top-3 this season. They perform well imo. Team forward Visca broken leg on last match but i think he is not at good level anymore.. It can be better for team as it was problem to bench him.

Fenerbahce will host Galatasaray as the hottest derby of country on Monday. Therefore, It is must 3 points match for Trabzonspor if they want Top-3 ranking.

Konyaspor have some internal problems, 3 players out of team after betting scandal. Ndao and center back Demirbag were key players. They appointed Cagdas Atan who is having poor manager career as he sacked from Basaksehir this season. They lost to KAragumruk which iis one of the weakest team of league.

Onuachu can score while their best defender is out and Trabzonspor can win.

Milan is coming off derby victory which GK Maignan saved Calhanoglu penalty and Pulisic goal. They started to show big edge on derbies, good match to keep momentum up. They can be league leader while 1st Roma will host 3rd Napoli tomorrow.

Lazio got comfortable win over Lecce which we also had -0.75 AH Pick on them. They play goot at home but they struggle in all away matches.

t looks like very easy spot for Atl Madrid but they may be stresfull as they will meet with Barcelona in midweek. It will be Top fight for a season. More likely low pace by Diego Simeone to make active resting during match.

Oviedo is so far not for La Liga level. They fight good, but more likely relegation team.

Atl Madrid can keep clean sheet today.

It was good away win for Roma after losing 2 matches at Europa League. They are on good streak at league. Gasperini shows his talent after long years Atalanta adventure which they had many high scoring matches at Europe.

Danish team plays very well at Europe. They won all 4, scored 11 including away win vs Nottingham in UK. I don\' think they can stay silent today.

Sweden season is over, its the first fact for Malmo. 2nd, Malmo is having internal problems with president, manager and many players.

Manager Mravac is counting days to join Middlesbrough. Several key players like Rosengren, Sigurdsson, Lajqi and Botheim are out due to broken leg. Christiansen is questionable but not %100 fit for sure.

Forest did terrible start to season but started to got good results since Sean Dyche took charge. They beaten Liverpool recently. It can be match to climb upper ranking easily with goal average.

Rangers had easy win vs Dundee FC before international break. After, they had hard times vs Livingston. They are one of the team affected badly during break. They gave high goal chances even in Scotland with xGa 1.76 per match. They are ranking almost at the bottom of Europa League.

Braga is having high scoring matches.3 victories on last 4 + 9 points in 4 is also reasonable fair. They have Elo Rating to finish group session in first-8.

Rangers is trying to jump back while Braga offensive finds it easy to score. I like btts.

There are still crisis on Fio and we lost also some picks because of them. Bad results were obvious + many experienced players firstly Edin Dzeko started to critics about their game plan. As expected they sacked manager and Paolo Vanoli took charge. He got 2 draw so far.

It was good they did came back vs Juve and got 1 point. They need clear victory to bring new hope or momentum.

AEK got unexpected home draw vs Shamrock after Aberdeen victory. They lost their only away match to Celje in Slovenia, comparing to Fio a lot weaker. I think they are fragile to play Italian away match.

IT looks good setup for first win for Vanoli.

It will be their 2nd meeting this season after UEFA Super Cup final in 13 August when it finished 2-2 at 90 minutes. PSG got it after penalties.

PSG finally lost at Champions League, 1-2 home loss to Bayern. Their all 4 matches were goal fest. They score somehow but defensively not great as well. Only 3 clean sheets on last 9 UCL matches.

Tottenham is doing fine against French teams, 6W-5D and lost only 2/13. They haven\'t lose last 5 which is the 2nd longest streak for them since October 2018 - April 2019 time.. They will play to extend their unbeaten form.

Also, Tottenham got 4-1 humiliated loss in North London derby vs Arsenal. It is time to show reaction.

PSG is offensive power while Tottenham is doing good as defensive work. I think it will be tight match and i will stay in + handicap.

Frankfurt suffers injury problems for a long time. They won first match at CL, then double 5-1 defeats and 0-0 draw to Napoli. After 4 matches Frankfurt is the 2nd worst team in terms of shot attempts at CL.

Atalanta stick to draws at Serie A, no win on last 8 but they play different at CL. They beaten Marseille in France and 2-1 home win vs Brugge was comfortable.

They sacked Ivan Juric and new manager Raffaele Palladion is trying adapt team quickly. It can be his \'\'first special match\'\' if they win.

Oly is doing good at local league but Europe adventure is bad only 2 draws to Pafos which plays at Europe first time in history and home draw to PSV. They lost 2-0 to Arsenal, 6-1 to Barcelona.

Real Madrid plays to recover Liverpool defeat today. They are now without a win on last 3, should be eager to get it.

Real has 95 ELO rating while Oly has 85, which shows big difference between clubs.

Galatasaray found good momentum at Europe, won last 3 in a row but never got 4 wins in a row at Europe. I think Liverpool match was tactical loss by Arne Slot. Bodo wwell deserved and Ajax was in bad shape this season.

Gala had hard times at league vs one of the weakest team Genclerbirligi they got 3-2 victory at the end but could have been some surprise result easily. They are trustable in terms of defense.. They average 1.98 xGa per match, almost 2 big goal chances to opponents every match.

Osimhen- Leroy Sane and Baris Alper leads team while unfit Icardi time to time join matches. He may starts if Osimhen does not feel %100 himselfs as he had minor injury at national team.

Galatasaray is having problems against Belgium teams, 4draws and 4 loss on last 8 at Europe.

Union is at the top of Belgium league, CL is 1 won and 3 defeats despite their 1.83 xG per match. They started to play at Europe level recent years, scored at least once on last 9 of 10 away matches. Union recently got 2 away victories at Europe 2-1 Ajax and 3-1 PSV.

Considering both teams, i like that both teams will contribute score to watch more than 2 goals.

Despite too many injury problems for Napoli, they were able to got 3-1 victory. We had also winner pick but huge credits to manager Conte. Great coach all the time even without key players. I would have gone higher odds -0.25 easily.

Qarabag is one of the unique teams of CL. 7 points in 4, got draw vs Chelsea who had rotation to be honestly but point is a point at Champions League. They had 3-2 away win vs Benfica, home win Copenhagen and 3-1 loss to Bilbao. They scored in all.

Napoli hasn\'t have good CL path so far, -1.5 handicap is too big i think considering their situation. Napoli got only 1 win on last 6 CL matches, conceded 13 goals totally.

Russian team in Turkish League its Serikspor based in Antalya which is the most touristical city in Turkiye but owners are Russian old Khimki. They sacked Russian manager recently, team consist of half Russian and Turkish players. Despite 4 of last 5 finished overs i still rate them defensive team. Their 3 players got suspension Erhan Celek, Selim Dili and Burak Asan they all are important for them.

Sariyer appointed Servet Cetin who was a center back in his time and counter attack mentality as a manager. Their forward Camara and midfielder Ozbaskici are suspended fot hem.

Due to not enough UEFA standards, they will play this match in Bolu which is very far from Antalya so no home advantage and Bolu knowns as cold city.
Expecting low scoring game.

Italy
Torino v Como 1907
Como 1907 +0.5 AH 1.324
+
Spain La Liga
Espanyol v Sevilla
Espanyol AH 0 1.46

Transfer ban on Umraniyespor trying to stay in relegation spot. They lost 8 of 13, very limited roster. 2 key players are suspended Kaplan and Benny.

Bodrum FK is league leader after relegated from Super League last summer. They have no problem to find score in every match.

Bodrum defenders Ali Aytemur and Yavuyaz got betting fine that won\'t play for a time. Still their offensive line up is strong enough to score minimum 2.

Lazio lost to Inter after 6 matches without losing. It is obvious they will struggle to reach Top-6 at the end of season. Manager Sarri shows his skills with limited team.

Lecce got 4 points on last 2 which was enough breath for them.Lecce more likely finish the season in bottom-6 with current Elo rating 79 make them to be in relegation zone 19th.

Sarri team at least can win similar home matches vs bottom-6 teams

Inter got 3 wins a row after losing to Napoli. 7 victory on last 8, so as expected they will go to Derby della Madonnina with high morale.

Milan hasn\'t lose 2nd match this season after losing. season opening game to newly promoted Cremonese. Only 1 win on last 4 which was against AS Roma. They still play elite matches better. I find Milan much better with manager Allegri, at least no chaos in a team.

Milan hasn\'t lose last 5 Derby matches, thus i feel safer side that both teams will score.

Besiktas is having bad season so far, they had Rafa Silva & manager Sergen Yalcin problem during international break. Rafa Silva declares he won\'t play and join team trainings anymore until he terminates his. contract.

Their last win over Antalyaspor i think not enough to clear problems.

Samsunspor is in good form, won all 3 matches at Conference League. German manager Thomas Reis has created solid away team, almost no away defeat. They make compact defence when they play out of home stadium. They are 4W-3D on last 7 away matches at Super League.

I think fair result should draw or Samsunspor win.

Barcelona backs to Camp Nou. They gave permission to play half open stadium with 45.000 expected. This time it was good break for Barça as Yamal and Raphinha are back to team.

Barça is still missing Pedri and suspended De Jong. Therefore, Olmo - Fermin - Casado are expected to play.
Nico and Sancet backs for Bilbao to starting XI. . Bilbao can control midfield area better.

Barça needs to have an edge at offense compared to midfielders. As it is stadium opening match, extra motivation factors make me feel 2-1 or 3-1 home win.

Napoli lost to Bologna after draw to Como 1907. They lost 5 points in a row suddenly.

Atalanta is also without league win for a long time, 7 matches streak. 3-0 home defeat to Sassuolo hurted a lot.

Lukaku, De Bruyne and Anguissa are out for Napoli. Actually the reason we have such high odds for them today. It would be minimum 0.20 - 0.30 odds lower if they would play.

Manager Antonio Conte i think will find a way somehow to get home win or at least avoid home defeat.

There is a huge betting scandal in Turkish league with referees, footballers and even Eyupspor president Murat Ozkaya arrested by police for match fixing. Investigation is still ongoing.. I was mentioning this guy and club for last 2-3 years. I think it was all obvious. It is very small town in Istanbul without any supporters, club history or any youth academy. They are in Super League and i believe all footballers and manager know it is a president club for sure. They may wonder how to get salaries etc in their mind.

Manager Orhan Ak had 4 matches, lost 3 even before this news. Team best defender Lucas Claro is injured and out for season. Scored only 6 goals in 12.

Karagumruk changed manager, Onur Can Korkmaz is back to team as manager who had championship with club last season in lower league. They got 2-0 win over Konyaspor on his first match. It is obvious he knows club roots.

I think it is %55 Karagumruk side.

Cagliari had a very important point vs away to Como 1907. They are still without a win 7 matches streak.

Genoa had first match with new manager De Rossi against Fiorentina ended 2-2. They seek also first win to catch up momentum.

I hardly can trust Genoa team which has only 1 away win on last 15 Serie A Away matches since the beginning of 2025.

Cagliari at least beat similar teams at home Monza, Venezia, Lecce, Parma , Verona..

Derbi del Turia or in English derby of Valencia. Only 3.5 km far from their stadium. Both are having bad stats recently. 17th Valencia is 2-4-6 record 10 points and 19th Levante 2-3-7 9 points in relegation zone .

Valencia boss Carlos Corberán was counting his last days under Valencia with 3D-4L record.

Levante got only 1 point on last 4 but i think these were solid teams, Atl Madrid + Celta Vigo, Mallorca draw and Rayo Vallecano which is European team this season. They got good results vs similar teams beaten 20th Oviedo 0-2 on away, beaten 18th Girona 4-0 on away and 15th Mallorca draw.

I live Levante away football much better than home football, more suitable for counter attacks. Romero is back from injury.. Btts can be also option but i\'m 1step closer to Levante.

Malta had 1-0 surprise against Finland which was first away win at Wqualificaiton group stages since 2014.

Before, Malta lost 4 of 6 matches scored only 1 goal. There were even 5 red cards on their last 10 matches. It shows obvious when they are miserable prone to get cards which can help us to cover handicap.

Poland mathematically still has a leadership chance... However, come on 14 goal difference + Netherlands needs to lose at home soil vs Lithuania. Looks impossible.

I think or at least Polish players will do their best to get easy match to finish group stage.

This handicap was -4 yesterday and dropped to -3.75, 3.50. We are talking about a half pro players. I also think their match fitness or sore legs will affect them. I see great pattern that they tend to lose more easily their 2nd matches at international fixture comparing to 1st ones.

Czechia has 13 points, lost to Faroe Islands 2-1 which has 12 points and thankfully they are not playing any more matches. Czechia secured ranking, it will be formality or goal scoring match for them for fun.

I believe Czechia can cover handicap.

Both sides are already eliminated, looks like only a formality match. Still even it is a friendly match, all points calculate for Fifa rankings.

Israel won the first match 4-0, other 2 wins were against Estonia.

Moldova is at the bottom of Fifa rankings even, only 1 draw in this group 1-1 to Estonia.

Israel had solid matches vs Italy 4-5 and 2-4 to Norway which they played similarly in Hungary.

I feel this is the only match i would want to risk instead of big handicaps on England, France, Serbia and Portugal tonight.

Norway is one of the 3 teams with %100 win rate. They left Estonia and Italy matches before World Cup. They beaten Italy 3-0 on first match, their overall average is much better. Very excited for them to join World Cup since 1998.

They found very highly offensive generation, thanks to Haaland.

Estonia has only 1 victory on last 16 away games at World Cup group stages, lost 12 of them when they were away on foreign soil.

I will take this pick because Norway players wants to break records.

Most likely Armenia will finish group stage as last, they will meet with Portugal on last match. They lost 6 of 8 at group stage.

Hungary is slightly better in better condition, their 2-2 draw to Portugal bring 2nd ranking. It is a must win game before hosting Ireland on last match for 2nd ranking match. Hungary scored exactly 2 goals on their last matches at home and away.

Captain Dominik Szoboszlai from Liverpool is leading team, totally 6 goal contributions either scored or assist in the last 6 matches for his nation.

1461 Trabzon is 3W-3D-5L, slightly above relegation zone. They appointed new manager Olcay Sahan who is young for manager experience and was with another youth project Altinordu on recent years.

1461 Trabzon has strong connections with Super League team Trabzonspor. Their youth academy has reached Youth Champions League on recent years. They should have good talents to give minutes and competition purpose at same time.

New manager Olcay Sahan is 2W-2D despite 3 away games. Their only home win was in 7 September, 2 months ago. I think today they have good chance to get 2nd home win vs suitable opponent.

Yeni Mersin had transfer ban during summer from FIFA. They are 2W-1D-1L on last 4 but 2 of wins were against bottom-4.

I think there is mismatch and unfair odds for this match.

They have only 3 points difference on ranking but 4 of 6 victories of Guzide Gebzespor came against bottom-4. They haven\'t started to play against vs solid teams in this division.

Bursaspor is looking for good old times at Super League, planning to promote in a short time. Their only 3 of 8 victories were against bottom-4.

I rate them slightly better than home team.

Nigerian victor Osimhen is leading Galatasaray, he had hat-trick in midweek against Ajax to got 3-0 away win in Netherlands. They got draw vs Trabzonspor last week, looking for recovery match. Kocaeli is just 2 hours away from Istanbul by bus, so not a big travel disadvantage for them.

Kocaelispor is newly promoted team, managed by Selcuk Inan who is ex-captain of Galatasaray. He has never won against Galatasaray since he started manager career. He usually makes wrong analysis or very offensive teams.

Samsunspor is in Conference League, got 2-0 win vs Malta team Hamrun. They got 3 wins at Europe, league record is 5W-5D-1L. Looks good on paper considering their transfer ban during summer.

They could not create deep roster, few players and 3 key players are injured Ntcham , Ceesay and Coulibaly are out.

I don\'t consider them as big team and i don\'t think they are fit to win in midweek than at weekend at league.

Eyupspor has changed manager, they lost 1-0 to Antalyaspor which was equal i think. They consist of high level players , many loan from Galatasaray or European experienced players such as Kerem Demirbay from Leverkusen.

It looks good spot for them to hurt Samsunspor and get at least a point.

I was %50 -50 for Udinese to score or Udinese +1. Almost same odds, i feel better on this one.

Roma is not at elite level, they have midweek Europe matches. Also, they lost to Inter and AC Milan last week. I haven\'t seen big match victory so far.

Udinese is tough team this season, beaten Atalanta last week which was first defeat of Atalanta this year.

I think risk/reward is fine to expect goal by Udinese.

Inter had beaten Fiorentina and Verona after they lost to Napoli. They struggled some time against Verona but somehow got 3 points at the end. Tight fixture sometimes disturb concentration. They still not at the best form at CL, beaten Kairat 2-1 at least no surprise.

Lazio is having tough season with Sarri. They beaten Cagliari as expected. They haven\'t lose on last 6 but not winning series as well.

Inter manager Chivu mostly focus on offensive attacks, many players have long shot threat. At least they are easy to score at home stadium San Siro. I think they can score at both halves and cover handicap.

AC Milan has advantage after bad last season they are not in Europe for midweek extra-matches. Inter, Napoli and Juventus has suffered already in busy fixture.

Milan is coming off win against Roma after 2 draws in a row which will be their Top-5 opponents.

Parma has lost to Bologna at home, winless on last 5. Other Top-5 teams Juve and Roma both scored 2 goals against Parma.

Milan has scored first goal in 7 of 10 matches that make me good if they score at half time than 2nd goal should not be too late for them.

Osasuna is 3W-2D-6L but they had away matches vs Real Madrid, Villarreal, Betis, Espanyol and Atl Madrid such strong teams, lost 5 of these and got only draw vs Oviedo. As a result, they focus this match to get minimum 1 point.

Sevilla still far from best, Argentinian manager needs Spanish league lesson. They lost 3 matches in a row after beating Barcelona. They easily lose home matches too. Sevilla has won only 2 of last 17 home matches.

Budimir is injured for Osasuna, the reason i reduce from stakes 2 to 1.

Last Europa Leauge finalist meet for league match this season. Tottenham won 1-0 and got the title in May. They both are 5W-2D-3L. Tottenham created strong edge on recent years, Tottenham has won 5 of last 7 and got 2 draws. Man Utd got last win on 2022 for their H2H.

Tottenham had awful match vs Chelsea last weekend, according to whoscored it was the lowest xG that any team created at Premier League this season.

Man Utd beaten Liverpool but they still need to improve, only 1 win on last 11 away trips at Premier League, lost 7/11 ( my favourite grocery shop in Thailand )

Also, their London trips generally with upsets lost 16 of 25 last London trips for red devils.

Gaziantep is having offensive football with manager Yilmaz. He likes to 3rd zone press with many players. As a result they score easily but give a lot of free spaces to opponents.

Rizespor is the suitable team for fast attacks. They scored at least goal on last 8 of 9 and scored 4 away matches in a row.

n sunday we had same pick on Vanspor vs Sakaryaspor but game finished 3-3. Vanspor star player Cedric is out today and i am happy to risk again.

Same reasons, Vanspor manager Hakan Kutlu is defensive minded coach. 7 of 12 finished unders now.

Their 6 of 7 matches vs Top-7 teams finished unders. Sakaryaspor did terrible defense i think only reason thay went goalish.

Sariyer is with new manager Servet Cetin who was in this division with Amedspor last year. He is well known of counter attack, sit deep at defence for a long time.

Plzen is on a good run at domestic league 3W-1L, lost to 1nd Sparta Prague and will host 1st Slavia 3 days after this match to fill 5 points gap. They started in CL qualifications, 1-1 draw to Ferencvaros is fair, 3-0 Malmo understandable and away 2-1 win vs Roma was over expectation.

Fenerbahce still seek their best after Mourinho gave big damage to club. Tedesco got very important 3-2 derby win at weekend vs Besiktas. They had solid home wins vs Nice and Stuttgart at EL.

Colombian striker John Duran started to take minutes and scored finisher at weekend. Few rotation is expected for that reason i feel btts is safer side for Fener.

Utrecht lost all 3 matches so far, Lyon, Brann and Freiburg not good start to Europe 14 years after they joined the competition. 2W on last 10 may raise concern about club. At this times, some clubs don\'t focus Europe to save season at domestic.

Porto got ugly defeat to Nottingham after winning first 2. They got double 2-1 wins after that match and they are now 12W-1D-1L this season. Considering club experience at Europe stage and league difference I favour Porto to get 3 points.

Rangers lost all 3, Brann + Strum Graz + Genk all were same calibrated teams. After bad results at Scottish league, lastly German manager Danny Röhl took charge. They lost semi final to biggest rival Celtic after extra time 4 days ago. Morales are down.

Roma is with Atalanta legend manager Gasperini, trying to gain momentum with new formation style comparing to last season. I like Gasperini style and he likes to focus European matches every season. They lost to Plzen and Lille after beating Nice this season. This match is winnable for Italian club.

Bilbao has many missing, they will play almost with full rotation team. Williams brothers, striker Sannadi, midfielder Sancet, left back Yuri and right full back Gorosabel are out of team.

They struggle this season since Williams had injury. They try to lock games 0-0 at half time and seek second half goal.

Newcastle is performing well, had solid home match vs Barcelona at home but lost 1-2.
I think Newcastle victory should be banker and i\'m happy to risk -1.25.

Ajax is not in best shape, 5W-5D-1L in Netherlands and lost 3 CL matches 0-2 Inter we had a winner pick, 4-0 Marseille and 5-1 Chelsea.

Heitinga team could not create high domination team so far, 1-1 PSV and 0-2 home loss to AZ Alkmaar against Top-4 league teams at domestic.

Kenneth Taylor is suspended after red card against Chelsea. Ajax failed to make. clean sheet on last 11 matches in a row.

Galatasaray had wonderful strategy to beat Liverpool 1-0 after losing 5-1 Frankfurt.. On 3rd match they got 3-1 home win Bodo. They are in better confidence with 6 points.

That confidence can give them better advantage today.

Benfica has lost 3 CL matches, Qarabag at home and double loss in England. They are in situation with stress. Mourinho football is dying every year. I don\'t expect high domination football in this case they need to win. They had a total 8 shots on target in 3 matches.

Leverkusen lost 3-0 to Bayern Munich at league, it was 2nd defeat for them. New manager Hjulmand also seek first win at Europe. Robert Andrich is suspended and several not important missings Equi and Fernandez.

Leverkusen had 2-2 Copenhagen and 1-1 PSV before losing to PSG 2-7 at home. I think Leverkusen players have sorry to club to forget that disaster. I think they can get at least 1 point to avoid defeat.

Bandirmaspor down to 9 players last weekend, managed 0-0 draw against Erokspor. Ndongala and team top goal scorer Tanque are suspended. These 2 are very important players for away team.

Igdir FK is 2W-1d-1L on last 4, with new manager Uzulmez they are looking for Top-4 ranking. Better players and better roster is on home team.

Rizespor had 2 draws on last 2. They had only 4 points on 5 home matches. There are still clouds over club and manager Palut who is normally perform very well vs average teams.

Karagumruk finally got 1 point 2-2 draw after losing 6 matches in a row.

Hard to trust both sides, especially i don\'t find it logic such favourite for Rizespor which struggle to win matches. Karagumruk can be dangerous today by their long shots.

Both teams have 17 points in 11. Sakaryaspor did extra-work to my project ranking. They had some internal problems after team best left back Caner Erkin and center back fought in the pitc during the game. After, board members ruled out both players. 8 of 11 finished overs for Sakaryaspor.

However, this time they will face with unregular team. Vanspor is a simple team based on manager tactics. Hakan Kutlu likes to defensive football, happy to sit back 0-0,1-0 for a long time and minimal risks for offense. 7 of 11 finished unders but stats may show wrong data sometimes.

Vanspor is ranking 8th and they already made matches vs Top-7 teams. 6 of them finished under 2.5 goals.

Fiorentina lost to Inter as well, one of the worst start to the season in history. 4D-5L in 9, some experienced players like Dzeko started to increase their voice in front of media for Stefano Pioli. I feel he can be sack after this match if fail to win today.

Lecce has created weak team in summer period, only victory was vs Parma lost 5 of 9.

I will go with Fiorentina to get their first victory today.

West Ham is in a free fall, lastly they lost 2-1 to Leeds Utd. It was 3rd losing match in a row. They lost 5 of last 6. Nuno Espirito Santo also could not stop bad momentum on team.

Newcastle beaten Tottenham in EFL cup 3 days ago. After this match, they will meet with Bilbao for Champions League in home stadium. 5 wins on last 6 but scored only 9 goals in 9 league matches.

I feel West Ham first need to focus clean sheet and Newcastle may be comfortable to control the game first and score later.

Wolfsburg finally got a victory vs Hamburg after they lost 4 matches in a row. They lost to lower division team Kiel 1-0 in midweek. There are still black clouds over team. It may be protest day if they lose today.

Hoffenheim won their last 2 matches by 3-1 and 3-0 but both opponents were bottom-4. They are another team eliminated from DFB Pokal in midweek after 2-2 90 minutes and penalties. They may both feel fatigue legs to cut pace.

To be honestly i did not plan 3 under games in 1 day. i just prepare my focus matches on friday without odds and check team news on match day and write odds while i\'m preparing picks. So Good luck all of us

El Clasico winner Real Madrid will visit Liverpool in midweek. They have full of confidence now. We had a winner pick on Real to beat Barça last weekend. It was obvious with such offensive line up vs Barca defensive line up.

Almost same miss match today vs Valencia. This is how they found themselves in relegation zone last season. They concede more easily after 1st goal or give up match easily. They lost to Barcelona 6-0 this season.

5 points gap with Barcelona, offensive players are in form. They can get easy score to boost morale before Liverpool match

7 of 10 matches finished overs for home team. They tend to score much easier with gegen pressing on home matches. Gala is without key defender Davidson and playmaker Ilkay Gundogan today. Galatasaray conceded home goals on 9 of 10 matches on last 2 season when key defender Davidson is out.

Trabzonspor also on fire, won 4 matches in a row scored 2-2-4-4 on these times. 2.05 striker Onachu scores much easy headers every match vs short teams. Gala will have difficulty to defend him.

4 points after 8 matches explain Heideneim situation. Not enough team level for Bundesliga.
They were down to 10 man at first half by red card to Sierslleben vs Hamburg.

Frankfurt got upset at DFB Pokal in midweek vs Dortmund but they got nice result at weekend, 2-0 home win vs St Pauli was important as it was first clean sheet after 11 matches. They are still very goalish team, 2nd most scorer after Bayern.

Expect clear away victory.

4- Double
Germany Bundesliga
Leipzig v Stuttgart
over 2.5 goals 1.48

Netherlands
Ajax v Heerenveen
over 2.5 goals 1.44

double pays 2.14
Stake: 1 unit

I want to try nice double over 2.5 goals. Stuttgart is having nice offensive matches with Sebastian Hoeness. Both had cup match in midweek and fighting for Top-4 ranking. There were 25 goals on last 5 H2H. Leipzig dropped points to Dortmund and Bayern so far but Stuttgart can hurt as well.

8 of 10 matches of Heerenveen finished o2.5 goals. They got 5W-2D on last 7.

Heitinga team Ajax got 3-2 away win vs Twente after 5-1 ugly defeat to Chelsea. Stil i don\'t rate them elite team comparing to previous seasons.
I think obvious goalish match.

HAtayspor is only club without a win except U19 Adana Demirspor. Surprisingly, some talented players are out today. Probably, they finished their chapter until January and looking for new club. Their most important striker Okoronwko is out not in squad.

Erzurum has created strong team, but a lot protest to manager due to his results 4W- 7D. He likes to avoid defeat if he can\'t win.

Hatayspor conceded 30 goals in 11, 3 goals per match. Very offensive style and Portugese manager Hugo Almedia never steps back.

Augsburg is 2W-1D-5L, they deserve ranking where they are now. Bad defensive organisation by Sandro Wagner team. They lost 6-0 to Bayern last weekend.

Dortmund got last minute victory vs Koln which was small clash in North Rhine. They had goo pressure on last 10 minutes. They had 1-1 draw vs Frankfurt and got result after penalties.

It is target match for Dortmund to win and i don2t see surprise on this meeting.

Pisa is 4D-4L, still dreaming first victory after 34 years in Italian Top League since they relegated in 1991.

Pisa was very close to win vs AC Milan 6 days ago but Milan player Athekame scored 90+ goal to get 2-2 draw at the end.

Due to financial problems and transfer ban, Lazio had difficulty to create team on summer. However, i found them good on recent matches. 1-0 Juventus win , 0-0 Atalanta, 3-3 Torino...

Pisa may focus this match as beatable opponent to take extra risks which can be better for Lazio. Lazio can take lead at half time is more likely and they can finish game with victory.

After Juventus victory, Como got only 1 point away to Parma. I was waiting that game if Como can start series or no. Big clubs or elite players can easily start it but Como could not. It is time to back home in midweek cover point loss to Parma.

Verona is still without a victory at league, they got 2-0 lead vs Cagliari but finished 2-2 draw at the end. Verona game style is sit back on their half, hoping for counter attacks. As a results, opponents find many shots and corners on their every match. Verona recieves avg 6.5 corners when they play away. Verona also concedes 1.55 xGa per away match which is the worst 6th in the league.

Como has created solid team to join European contest at the end of season. It should be home win.

Bologna is 4W-2D-2L ranking 8th but in terms of xG they are 2nd best team by 2.07 xG per match after 1st Inter. They try high quality shots on target easily. They were 0-2 up to Fiorentina but it was must win home point for Fiorentina and they scored 2 penalty goals to finish 2-2 which was btts pick for us on that match.

Same for defensive skills, Bologna is the best defensive team in terms of concede xGa 0.37 per match while Torino only found 1.04 per match which is average not good not bad.

Torino played 2 home matches and got 2 home wins 1-0 Napoli and 2-1 Genoa. I think they also didn\'t expect Napoli victory. Torino didn\'t get 3 victories in a row at Serie A since 2018.

They look like good but Torino is i think below average on away matches,, won only 3 of last 20 away Serie A games.

Silifke Belediye is 4th division club while Amed Sportif is 2nd division club..

Average performance by Silifke in their league. Amed Sportif is title candidate in 1. Lig. They start with fully strong team. Gyan, Cedar Orhan and Dia Saba is on the pitch.

It seems new manager of Amed, manager Sinan wants to qualify at Cup.

Atalanta hardly got a 1-1 draw to Cremonese, we had btts winner pick on 25 October 3 days ago. They are getting draw 4 matches in a row.

AC Milan had also ugly draw at home vs Pisa. It was unexpected point loss for them.

Atalanta is trying to find new formation after Gasperini left and they are not at same level so far. They are trying just too many shots, to increase xG but i didn\'t like it so far.

AC Milan is title candidate and their biggest advantage is that they are not competing at Europe this season.

Overall, I rate AC Milan better team and AH 0 is much safe pick to me

Also, Kasimpasa best player Bosnian Hajradinovic is injured. Gueye and Ben Ounes didn\'t play on Eyupspor match.
Besiktas is missing Rafa Silva. They had midweek win vs Konyaspor.  They are still not at best with manager Sergen Yalcin. Kasimpasa is also Istanbul based city with tiny supporters. So, it is not an away game.
I think Besiktas will win easier than expected.

Barça destroyed Real Madrid last season when Ancelotti took charge. Catalans won all 4 El Classico. But i feel much better on Xabi Alonso. He is changing team a lot or make different tactics to each opponent.
Barça is missing Lewandowski, Raphinha, Olmo and Gavi. They play with very young players, especially at defence. Real offenders should find edge there with Mbappe, Arda Guler and Vinicius if he plays. Center back Hujsen is recovered and ready to play.
I think Real will score minimum 2 but not sure about 3rd goal. I feel better on Real to win. 

Boluspor changed manager recently. They got point vs Igdir FK. Left back Lima is suspended. 
Corum FK has created Top-5 team but too many offensive players and concede a lot of goals. 7 of 8 finished btts. If they want to be champion, they need to win this type of matches easily at home stadium.

Amed Sportif is the oldest team in this division. Weak on away matches but very strong at home stadium. Mbaye Diagne finds it very easy to score in this league, 10 goals in 9. Dia Sabia is their talented playmaker creates high xG in every match for himself. 
Istanbulspor got only 2 wins in 10. They consist of young players every season and finish above mid rankings. I think their youth energetic conditions can find a goal today as well. Amed to win is not value as well as handicaps. I think minimum 3 goals. 

Fiorentina is one of my team i track regularly. We had winner pick on them in midweek vs Rapid Vienna. They are still at very bad form at Serie A, no victory. They lead vs Ac Milan last weekend but conceded 2 goals by Leao and lost it. 
Edin Dzeko also complained that they should start playing 2 strikers and manager Pioli directly answered him in front of press conference. Pioli has limited days if they will perform like this. 
Bologna is other European team. They beaten Cagliari and Pisa in a row. Also win in Romania vs FCSB. They are in a good form. 
It looks to me good btts pick. 

It is always tricky to find home favourites on lower divisions. Pendikspor consist of young and experienced players. Wonderkid GK loaned from Basaksehir, helping team to get at least avoid defeats. Midfielder Dencic is suspended. 
Serikspor is almost half Russian team, ex owner of Khimki invested to club as a \'\'hidden\'\' supporter. Son of president and son of manager are also playing in the team. Russian manager Sergey Yuran was doing strict defensive in the beginning of season but recently they switched to more offensive. They scored at least once on last 6 of 7. 
Yes, Pendikspor is favourite but i would not risk my money for them to win. Serikspor should score as well. 

Trabzonspor has finally found good momentum, winning 3 matches in a row. We had winner picks 3 matches in a row about Trabzonspor on 18.10, 03.10 and 27.09. I will go for 4th one. 
2.02 cm height Nigerian Onuachu still finds it very easy to score header as Trabzonspor scored header 6 goals on last 15. 
Eyupspor has changed manager, won the first match 2-0 vs Kasimpasaspor. Still, bad on away lost 6 of last 7 at Super League. They conceded easy goals comparing to last season that helped  GK Berke Ozer made a transfer to French Lille. 
Trabzonspor can score minimum 2 at home stadium to join Top-3 race. 

Cremonese did great job so far, lost first Serie A match to Inter 4-1 on 6th fixture on their first year after promotion. After that match, they were again underdog to Udinese took lead but got 1-1 draw at the end. It is great record for them as they were never favourites this season. 
Atalanta is trying to find new system with manager Ivan Juric. They got 3 draws in a row at league. They are looking for finishing their draw series but I don\'t think they should deserve to be heavy favourite. I expect both teams will score. 

Chelsea got 5-1 win vs Ajax which was their 4th victories in a row. 3 of 4 finished overs. 1-0 home win vs Mourinho managed Benfica. 
Chelsea attacking good but still very risky to trust their wins as many injured defensive problems. Only Man City scored more than Chelsea so far. 
Italian manager Enzo Maresco enjoys his young and athletic team as they have the youngest average age at Premier League and even there is no player more than 30 years old. Good sides yes energetic but bad side they can be fragile anytime. 
Sunderland doing good so far as low budget, newly promoted team. Granit Xhaka is the commander of team and he should find his way to score against one of the elite clubs.

Fenerbahce is still in chaotic problems. I see Mourinho totally leave club in terrible conditions like he did similar to AS Roma. It took some time to recover. Not enough summer camp, match conditions finish at first half, wrong team management etc.. New transfer from Man City and Brazil NT GK Ederson injured. 3rd Tarik Cetin started to play recently, he conceded easy mistake vs Karagumruk at weekend.

Stuttgart is trying to make same momentum they did last season. They have same game mentality, Atakan Razor controls the midfield and striker Deniz Undav is dangerous enough to score in penalty area.

Fenerbahce is very successful at European home matches but this time i\'m not sure they can win or no.. Stuttgart can easily score if relegation zone Karagumruk also scored and found many goal threats.

This picks is simple to oppose Nottingham which has only 1 victory in 11 official matches this season. I think they may tolerate Europa League to cover league. They sacked another manager and Sean Dyche will be new manager.

Porto is in good condition with manager Fairoli. They won both Europa League matches. Also, they are undefeated at league. They can at least avoid defeat in England.

Fiorentina is still the biggest candidate for Conference League despite bad results at Serie A. They may perform much better at this low level European matches.

Rapid Vienna enjoys playing high offensive football in home stadium. After good start to season, they started to found themselves on bad run. They lost 4 in a row. Seems very fragile defense they have.

Samsunspor is back to European football after more than +30 years. They got solid victory in Poland. Despite league matches, they may have more exciting atmosphere at stadium.

Dynamo Kiev is in a lot problems due to war zone. They consist of very young players. No win on last 5, easy to concede.

Hard to make analysis about a team who is from Gibraltar. They consist of half pro half amateur or part time players. They lost first match 5-0 to Bosnian Zrinjski.

Lech Poznan is 5W-4D-2L at league. At least they play in a solid league with great offensive minded mentality. They also need ranking points for country and better spot for Europe. They beaten Rapid Vienna 4-1 on first match. Should be easy win.

Nothing too much to talk about Liverpool which lost 4 mathces in a row at league and CL. It should be last reaction match otherwise Arne Slot can search flight tickets to his homeland.

Frankfurt is young and energetic team but prone to make mistakes if opponent push hard. They have GK problem, easy to concede.

It is time for Liverpool victory.

So far, Real Madrid is much better team with Alonso than Ancelotti. But they don\'t look like elite team on big matches so far i watched against Atl Madrid, Marseille and also Sociedad match. They have upcoming El Classico as well. Alaba, Rudiger, Carvajal and Cabellos are injured.

Asencio and Militao play as center backs while Valverde takes right back position. Recently, I noticed they are much worse team when Bellingham starts. Real looks like 10 man when he is on the pitch. Camavinga and Tchouameni played to save spaces for Bellingham but it didn\'t work against Getafe. Vinicous and Arda Guler came from bench and took score before surprise happened.

Juve side had too many goal fest matches, but could not take lead easily. 4-3 Inter, 4-4 Dortmund, 2-2 Villarreal recently..

Real -1 is too big to me.. maybe for inplay we can catch better odds but for pre market i like both teams will score at least once.

Ferran Torres has recovered from injury and start on bench i think. He will most likely get minutes at second half.

Last minute goal against Girona was not good at all, they were about to make 3 matches without a win if they wouldn\'t score. Barcelona has weird stats that they never lost 2 Champions League home matches in a row. League and team difference is obvious. No doubt they are big handicap favourites.

Oly has bad record in Spain, never won a game in Spainish soil in 16 matches, lost 14. Both draws were against Deportivo in 2001 and 2004.
Also not only Olympiacos, none of Greek teams got an away victory on 21 matches against Spanish teams on away, lost 17.

Ter Stegen, Raphinha, Lewandowski and Gavi are still out but team roster is enough to get 2-0, 3-0 or 3-1 type victory.

Belgium team defeated PSV 3-1 on away and lost 0-4 to Newcastle. They play home matches in Lotto Park which belongs to Anderlecht due to not enough UEFA standards.

Inter beaten Ajax 2-0 in Netherlands , 3-0 S.Prague in Italy. They beaten Roma 1-0 at league. Chivu team plays more disciplined and less risky football comparing to previous seasons. Also his system with 3 great offenders can be too much for Argentinian center back leader Mac Allister for Union.

I started enjoy watching Villarreal for manager Marcelino. He is making great offensive attacks and strategies. He never steps back regardless of the opponent. I think they will play same vs Man City which give me easy hopes for goals. They have currently 1 point in 2 CL matches. So they also need to take risks.

I like both teams to score as well at around 1.65 but if match will stay 1-1 to last 10-15 minutes Villarreal will take more risks which makes me feel safe that late goal is also very likely.

Pep should know his Spanish team much better than anyone else. He is 6W-2D on last 8 in all competitions. Man City scored 2 or more goals on last 5 of 6 despite won only 2 of them on last 6.

After failing to score 5 matches in a row, Eyupspor changed manager. New manager Orhan Ak has almost no manager history, he was assistant manager time to time. I found it very sceptical.

Kasimpasa lost best player Bosnian Hajradinovic. They avoided defeat 5 matches in a row, including 1-1 draw to Fenerbahce. Kasimpasa manager Georgian Shota likes offensive football 5 of 8 finished btts. I think typical 1-1 or 2-1,1-2 match.

8 of 5 matches finished under for Alaves but after their last win 3-1 vs Elche has increased odds little bit. Argentinian manager Coudet is strict defensive mentality manager. He tried double striker system before international break that may also trigger high odds chance but i don\'t think.

Valencia is trying 4-4-2 with wing attack options but their capacity is limited. Only 1 point on 4 away matches which they had only 2 shots on target and scored. They are coming off ugly 2-1 defeat to Girona which team key player Diakhaby injured.

Erokspor is 6W-1D-2L , ranking. 4th. All 5 home matches finished overs. They make risky football but get results what they wish. Perfect results for a team which is playing only their 2nd season in this division in club history.

Bodrumspor has relegated from Super League, team consist of young talents. They scored at least a goal in all matches they had this year. It is almost Top-3 ranking match and both teams seek positive football.

Levante is newly promoted side but much better than many teams already like Sociedad, Celta, Bilbao etc.. They are 6th most scorer team, easy to score in matches. Both strikers are i think above Levante level. Especially I got surprised when Eyong joined after season started.

Vallecano got 2 victories in a row at Europe, should be boost confidence. They should find goals against similar teams like them.

It should be one of the match easily we can back Fenerbahce to score more than 2 today. Mourinho sacked by president after they lost to Benfica prior to CL group phase. After 2 weeks president Ali Koc lost election but he appointed Dominic Tedesco before left. Current situation is new president in charge with manager he didn\'t appointed. He says he doesn\'t want to change team quickly and give full confidence to Tedesco but they ruled out 2 Turkish player Irfancan and Cenk Tosun. I think it is their warning level.

Tedesco is trying to adapt and know his players. Asensio will start as playmaker and Nene - Oguz looks like their fast wings today.

Karagumruk is one of the weak side of division. They promoted this season and more likely relegate at the end of season. They lost 7 of 8 already.

Fenerbahce needs clear victory.

Genoa is still without a win this season, had a hard times against Bologna, Lazio and Napoli recently. What is interesting is all 3 home matches finished without scoring. Patrick Viera should hope to start scoring at home at least.

Parma lost to Lecce at home match after they beaten Torino and planning to start new momentum. Parma is in terrible form at away matches, only 1 win on last 16 away trips at Serie A. Lost 9 of them.

I think these both teams will finish season Top-6. They both play very offensive and positive football. They will have both European matches after 4-5 days in midweek. Villarreal is avoiding. defeat at home while Betis knows how to play and take point on away matches.

For side pick, i won\'t be surprise any team wins but i feel good that both can generate goals more than 2.

Napoli was 0-1 down against Genoa just before international break. Same like against Ac Milan. They managed to complete came-back and won the match 2-1 by Anguissa and Höjlund. Höjlund is playing solid recently, he also scored at his national team.

Torino was up vs Lazio 90+3 goal but conceded 90+13 by penalty goal and got 3-3 draw. Despite their results vs Lazio and Roma i still haven\'t watch solid football.

Napoli can get result.

Rizespor got victory by 5 goals but prior to match they said they will sack manager Palut who has problems with some footballers. I think footballers wanted to show reaction. After 5 goals , board members decided to give more chance to manager. On last home match, there were protest to manager by home fans. I\'m not sure to trust this team for a while.

Trabzonspor is lucky that their foreigners didn\'t call up to national team except some. They started to better on last 4-5 matches. It is a called Black sea derby and Trabzonspor can win it.

Hatayspor consist of same players from last season when they were at Super League. They relegated with many problems after big earthquake in city and financial problems. Many players decided to stay in club but they hardly play like a team. Easily conceded goals in every match. Goal line was 2.25-2.50 for a long time and finally it climbs to 3.

Hatayspor lost last matches 5-0,3-0,4-2..

Corum FK has created championship team but no one can reach title with only transers. AFter bad results, manager changed. Cavus knows this division as he managed other teams before. They had first victory vs Manisa FK 3-1.

Corum FK has minimum 2-3 goals by themselves and if Hatayspor can also score at least 1 it will be easy.

Oviedo should be on the other side. This newly promoted team is 2W-6L, as expected Serbian manager sacked and ex footballer Spanish Luis Carrión took charge. They focus urgent point or points quickly.

Espanyol is 2D-2L on last 4, maybe it was lucky win on first fixture vs Atl Madrid than easy home wins vs Osasuna and Mallorca may exaggerated their performance.

I will try a surprise home win today.

It will be 3rd match on last 1.5 years. After Euro 2025 group stage which Turkiye won 3-1, they found themselves in same group stage of World Cup Q. Turkiye beaten 3-2 in Georgia in the first round, they have advantage for 2nd round tailing Spain.

Montella is having offensive football, even they lost to Spain 0-6 he didn\'t change style at second half. They beaten Bulgaria 6-1 3 days ago.

Georgia is not very easy team to cover -1,-2 handicaps. They have good attackers like Mikautadze at Villarreal and Kvaratskhelia in PSG.

It is their last chance for 2nd spot so they can attack what all they can do.

Spain is too heavy favourite in this group, won all 3 matches 3-0,6-0 and 2-0.

What i watched on Bulgaria team is disaster on Turkish game. They looked like half amateur team, very prone to make easy mistakes. It was very easy to lose all balls .

Spain can score minimum 2 at first half to finish match quickly.

North Macedonia beaten Kazakhstan 1-0 on first meeting. They are leader in this group with extra match. It was important to avoid defeat vs Belgium on both matches. It will be more meaningful if they will win today.

Kazakhstan has won only Liechtenstein game. Also, they conceded at least 1 half time goal on last 6 of 8 matches. I think If Macedonia score at first half they can easily go for handicap.

My long term followers know me i don\'t do shitty leagues, u19,u17 or woman leagues or player props where you can have actually €40-50 limits..

I was waiting this pick since last night to increase limits. I see limits are now above €300 in many asian bookies. So I take it and match will start in 1 hour.

Even odds dropped from last night, i still like these odds.

Somaspor is in the bottom-6, consist of young players. They used to grow up young talents and sell it to 1.lig clubs to make profits. This year they don\'t have such big talent. They struggle to maintain success.

1461 Trabzon is based on Trabzon city, as you can guess unofficial B team of Trabzonspor is playing at Super League. They usually loan their young talents also they have several +25 players to aim 1. Lig. After bad results, they sacked manager and Olcay Sahan took charge who was also in Altinordu Turkish Bilbao where they play with only local players.

Also, Trabzonspor Youth team have reached Champions League final last season played with Barcelona and lost it. There are some players from that team as well. So, this team should win today with new manager.

2- Turkish 2. Lig
Elazigspor v Karaman FK
Elazigspor -1.75 AH 1.892
Stake: 1 unit

My other low division match. If odds or limits drop, you can wait prior to the match or first 5-10 minutes.

Elazigspor is 3W-2D-1L, won all 3 away matches and failed to win home matches this season. They have high expectations with strong squad. For that reason, they sacked the manager and appointed a new one.

Karaman FK is 2D-5L after first 7 matches. They had 1-0 up vs Adana 01 FK last weekend at half time but then lost 1-3 at the end. They had transfer ban last season and lifted up as good new but they consist of low level players. I reckon bottom-6 ranking for this season.

I expect first home victory by Elazigspor today.

Bulgaria lost both matches 3-0 to Spain and Georgia. 3rd last match was friendly to Greece and lost 4-0.

This nation is one the weak in Bulgaria history. Even their best players can not play more minutes at their own clubs, Despodov and Illia Gruev. Also, new manager debut first match after controversial decisions approval by politicians.

Turkiye got important victory away to Georgia to secure 2nd ranking then they lost 0-6 home defeato Spain. Italian manager Montella is under pressure that even none of footballers shows reaction or tried to hard tackles.

It should be reaction match otherwise can be last match for Montella. Turkiye has one of the great generation, playmaker Arda Guler is now regular Real Madrid starter, Kenan Yildiz is Juventus forward, Hakan is playmaker of Inter, forward Kerem backs to his country and in good form with Fenerbahce. Defensive players are also good enough.

Norway is in impressive form, thanks to team leader Haaland. They scored 23 , conceded only 2 on last 5 matches. They beaten Israel 4-2 in Hungary and 3-0 Italy.

Israel is under pressure by being knock out of World Cup as well as their current war status in Middle East. I don\'t want to talk about politics as our duty is to find value to make money. They applied to Italy to stay and make preparations but they denied. I think there should be also mind pressure and overthinking in players head.

Israel is 3W-2L but 3 wins were 2 times Estonia and 1 time Moldova.

think odds should be reverse here after watching first 2 matches of Iceland national team. They got 5-0 victory vs Azerbaijan then solid game away to France.

Ukraine is without 3 key players, Tsyhankov, Zubkov and Zinchenko. They all out of team. Ukraine is in now must win situation which can be easier for Iceland team which looks very physically better.

Karaman was in same division last year, typical average team 10W-14D-10L. They could not beat any Top-6 ranked teams.

This season they started with 2 draws then lost all 4 matches in a row. That 2 teams are ranking bottom-2 now.

Adana 1954 FK was also in same division, but different group. They finished 4th for play off spot for 1. lig but could not reach. They are one of the Top-6 candidates this season. League record is 2W-3D-1L so far. Only loss was against 1st Batman Petrol.

This match looks suitable for the first away win of season.

Atl Madrid was 1W-3D-2L on the first 6 matches but they got tremendous 3 victories on last 10 days. 3-2 Vallecano, 5-2 Real Madrid and 5-1 Frankfurt at Champions League. Good that they did all these 3 matches at home stadium. Diegoe Simeone also need away victory to proof their record is not only for Madrid.

Celta had Europe match on Thursday night, extra +2 nights fatigue. Also, Celta Vigo has very few roster. They may face problems when make rotation.

Karagumruk lost 6 of 7 this season. They promoted to Super League this season after 1 year break but team is weak.

Gaziantep is better now since Manager burak yilmaz took charge. 11 points on last 5 matches is impressive form and 4 of these 5 finsihed btts. Still i would never rate them as clear favourite this season.

Karagumruk needs urgent point and this match is their obvious target game for that reason i choose btts.

Bookies finally increased goal line from 2.5 to 2.75 and 3 today. We got good over winners on Hatayspor as they don\'t defence at all. Hatayspor had overs on 6 of 8. 3 of them finished draw. Portuguese ex top goal scorer Hugo Almedia is their manager but looks he can\'t also stop.

Bodrumspor got 5 wins on last 6. They are one of champion candidate. They can score minimum 2 today.

Brentford is playing very offensive football with Keith Andrews, it is also very easily noticeable from high goal chances and drive ins to opponent pitch. As a result, 5 o 6 matches finished overs.

They had 2-2 Chelsea and 3-1 victory vs Man Utd at home.

Man City is coming off 2-2 draw vs Monaco. They had 2-2 and 3-1 victory on their last 2 visits to Brentford.

Hard to stop Haaland nowadays and it is good spot vs Nathan Collins and Dan den Berg at Brentford center backs.

Erzurumspor is the only team in this division haven\'t lost a game after 8 matches. 5 draws are a lot only. All last 3 home matches finished draw.

Vanspor manager Hakan Kutlu was in charge of Erzurumspor last season. He is the only one know this team very well. They finally got victory vs Amed Sportif in midweek after 5 matches run without 3 points.

Chelsea has obvious problems at center backs. Very prone to easy mistakes despite 1-0 win in midweek vs Benfica at CL. GK Sanchez also i don\' t think he is capable of this level.

Liverpool lost 1-0 at CL in midweek after losing to C. Palace last weekend. Arne Slot insisted on hard rotation in the early of season. I don\'t think they will lose 3 matches in a row. Otherwise, mini crisis may start.

Real Madrid suffered 5-2 defeat in Madrid derby last weekend. They haven\'t lost 2 matches in a row in La Liga since 2019 May. It is good spot for reaction match.

They had easy 5-0 win vs weak Kairat in Almaty.

Villarreal beaten Bilbao very luckily. After they had 2-2 draw vs Juventus. Both may rest some players but overall Real has better roster.

Until last weekend, all 6 matches of Trabzonspor finished under 2.5 goals and 4 of them even finished 1-0. We had Trabzonspor to win last weekend as a winner. This match i can fully trust Trabzonspor maybe 2nd time in 4-5 months. 
Manager Tekke is trying to find best starting line up. Striker Onuachu finds it easy to score headers with his 2.02 cm height against weak center backs. Kayserispor has very beatable duo at defence. 
Kayserispor average age is 29.37 which is the oldest 2nd team in the league. This calculated with players who played at least 10 minutes or more. 
Trabzonspor is the 5th youngest team , avg age is 27.  This is the other fact , Trabzonspor can find other goals on the last 30 minutes of game. 

Arsenal beaten Newcastle by last minute goal at weekend. They are Elite team totally. Their Elo ratings are also 94- 85 for Oly.

Arsenal is 9W-2D-1L on last 12 CL home matches.

Olympiakos had 0-0 draw with Pafos on first match. Manager Mendilibar is very strict guy and hardly change his system. Mendilibar lost all last 10 away games at Champions League. Worse, they conceded minimum 2 in all of 1

Spanish team plays offensive 4-4-2 with almost easy to score at all home matches.

Juventus is having offensive 3-4-3.. No need to talk about 4-3 Inter , 4-4 Dortmund matches. After they had double 1-1 draws vs Verona and Atalanta.

I will go with same selection on Juventus match until they change their game style to more defensive.

I\'m surprised to see -2.25 AH. My expectation was -3 directly.

No need to talk about Cyprus league quality. They had 0-0 on first CL match vs Greek Olympiakos. They did great job as down to 10 after 25th minutes red card. Well deserved first 1 point in their Champions League history.

Cyprus team had only 1 victory vs German teams on 52 meetings. German teams won 42/52. That record is 21W-5D-1L when German teams are away.

Bayern had 6 matches vs Cyprus teams, won all 6 by scoring 31 and conceded only 2.

This is 2nd year of new format at CL. Bayern lost 3 of 4 away matches last year. I think this year they are more team with Kompany and they will push hard to prevent such stats last year.

Except last year, Bayern had 18W-2D on last 20 CL matches. No doubt they will win and question is goal margin.

If they win by 2 goal difference, we can lose 0.5 unit. I\'m okay with it.

We just got push on Galatsaray match. What i watch on 2 games vs Frankfurt and Alanyaspor are obvious they are not playing high level football anymore. Some talented guys Icardi, Leroy Sane and time to time referee touches helped them to make 7/7 at league but lost 5-1 to Frankfurt.

Galatasaray is 1W-5D-12L on last 18 Champions League matches. They conceded many shots on target and possessions while they were 1-0 up vs Alanyaspor. Liverpool started season good, they can punish easily.

Also, i would not risk it if it was 5th or 6th old group game format but CL has just started and for better ranking Liverpool will travel with key players.

I feel very secure on this pick.

Adana Demirspor is at the bottom of league only 2 years after they had 6 qualification round at Conference League. Owner of club is in financial problems and club is playing matches with U21 players.

Sivasspor had finally got victory but against Adana Demirspor. They relegated from Super League and keep the team mostly. But somehow, lack of motivation or good results. They should score every match easily.

All matches of Hatayspor produced many goals. They relegated from Super League, ready to compete for Top-6 but they concede. very easily. All of 7 matches finished btts. 
Bandirmaspor had good team but in bad form. They conceded 4 goals from Manisa FK lately. 

Fenerbahce is in a small chaos after Jose Mourinho sacked and president changed in club. New manager Tedesco took charge before election and new president is not sure about him despite he talks to media that he supports Tedesco. 1 assistant manager left 2 days ago which was accepted his role as Turkish to help Tedesco to understand league quick and better way.

Fenerbahce lost 3-1 to Dinamo Zagrep in Europa League after 2 draws in a row at league. They need sorry and reaction match. I think conditions are great to make good start at half time. They may reduce tempo at second half, for that reason i think Fener can make 2-0 score at half time.

Antalyaspor is still average team, manager Emre had 4 matches vs Istanbul giants, conceded 9 goals in 4 half times of games.

Roma beaten Lazio on the hottest derby in Italy after Torino defeat. It was recovery and sorry match for them. They got also away win vs Nice in Europa League.

Verona got 3 draws in 4 league matches. They got 1-1 draw vs Juventus last weekend, i see them hard to get points from 2 giants in 2 weeks in a row shortly.

Roma can score minimum 2 and get result.

Betis had 2-2 draws for Europa League match on Thursday. Manager Pellegrini is trying to build their defence while offense is good for their ranking. Except loss to Bilbalo, Betis scored half time goal in 5 of 6 league matches.

Osasuna lost all away matches so far. They got 1-1 draw vs Elche lastly. They scored only 1 second half goal in 5 of 6, even against weak teams. I think they are not ready to play 90 minutes.

Umraniyespor is 2W-1D-4L, got 1-0 away win vs Boluspor. Goal scorer Batuhan Celik got red card. It is now their 4th red card in 7. They play aggressive football obviously. 
Corumspor created deep squad, able to rest key players in tight fixture. They had 1-1 draw vs Serikspor and now it is 3 matches without a win. Manager Cavus will undergo 2nd match with his new team. 
Team value is almost double size of Umraniyespor. It will be 3rd match that they are away favourite in 4 away trips so far. It means bookies still trust their away victory as well. 

Karagumruk promoted to Super League this year, lost 5 of 6 so far. They had solid match vs Samsunspor but lost 3-2 at the end by last minute goal. Team looks weak , I rate them already bottom-6 team. Roco, Kranevitter and Sivri are out for injury.
Trabzonspor invested a lot, but they have wrong manager i think, all 6 finished unders and never scored more than 1. He is trying to take 1-0 victories in a row. This match can be first they will score minimum 2. Ukrainian center back Batagov is solid while Nigerian Onuachu is 2.01 cm find it easy to score headers. 
Defener Yokuslu is still out for red card. They have won 7 of last 10 meetings and this away is not away trip as they have many fans in Istanbul. 

It looks like good spot to get first victory for manager Postecoglou in Notthingham. Stats may show us wrong side as Notthingham had only 2 home games, won the season opening game vs Brentford 3-1 and lost 0-3 to West Ham when they were 1.70 favourite. IT will be first home match after 1 month.
Nottingham finished 7th last year to join Europe after long years. They had successful results vs bottom-7 teams, 12W-2D in 14 matches. This is the reason i back them today. 
Sunderland is missing Reinildo due to red card. Sunderland promooted to PRemier League this year after finishing Championships 4th. They had 3W-6D-5L record vs Top-8 teams in Championships last year. So so or average i think. They need more than average today vs European competition team. 

Match of the day without doubt. Diege Simeone is in trouble as fans also started to protest him after bad start. It is just 6 matches playes but Real Madrid has already double point gap. 
Lenglet and Le Normand so far had bad matches vs Liverpool and Mallorca. They conceded very easy goals. Simeone likes to use Llorente as midfielder but due to missing players and defensive concerns he gives him right back position. 
5 of the last 7 matches finished draw and Real Madrid got only 3 wins on last 18 away derby. However, Real Madrid should feel lucky to catch bad Atletico and they have plenty of offensive options. 

I wanted to stay on asian handicaps but i also like Galatasaray win + over 2.5 goals which is 2.03 odds i took.

Gala is 6/6 at league. Their mafia season continue with referees. It will be their best start ever if they win today. They got 5-1 ugly defeat in Frankfurt and 4 days before they will host Liverpool they will be in Alanya.

Gala has won last 5 meetings. Osimhen backs to team and can play at second half.

Alanyaspor beaten Besiktas at home and got draw away to Fenerbahce. I think both 2 were lucky. IT won\'t work today.
They play 3-4-3 style which can be very easy result for Gala if they play same.

Alanyaspor is also 3rd worst team in league in terms of meeting the ball in the penalty area. They rely on counter attack football by Ogundu.

Barcelona started to get easy victories while Yamal was also out. Rashford and Raphinha played at second half of match vs Getafe. They can play longer minutes today. Bench players Olmo, Fermin and Ferran also contribute to score. For that reason they got positive results at away also.

Barcelona is 10W-4D-1L on last 15 away matches.

Oviedo looks the weakest side of La Liga. They may return to lower division after they promoted this summer. Scored only 1 goal in 5 matches. Opponents had 10-10-6-3-5 shots on target. Barcelona won\\\'t forgive this kind of easy shots on goal.

They got very fair result at 4-0 vs Girona after several weeks with good football. They mostly start very agressive at home matches. They scored 2 goals vs Betis and Barcelona on last 2 home matches.

Villarreal striker Eyong joined team which will be very + for home team. I think they needed exactly same style for their offense.

Real Madrid did rotation at weekend vs Espanyol. Xabi is trying rotation in tight fixture. It is usally tough away trip for them, only 1 win for Real Madrid on last 5.

I think Levante will find score.

Fiorentina is still without a victory. Recently they lost 1-3 to Napoli at home, we had btts pick on that match as winner and for that reason i watched some. To be honestly, i was expecting more tough match but could not push Napoli at all. Goal came after 0-3.

Como 1907 created solid team i think, consist of young talents + some veterans. They were leading at home vs Genoa but got draw by last minute goal.

Fio manager Pioli is under manager and a home goal should be must while they are still bad at defence. Faced 16 shots on target after 3 matches make them worst 3 team.

Karagumruk got 2-1 away victory to Antalyaspor and lost other 3 matches. 2 of 3 defeats were normal against stronger teams. They promoted to Super League this season. 

Interestingly, Karagumruk is 5W-3D vs Basaksehir on their last 8 meetings. 

Basaksehir is without a win on the last 6 official matches at league and Conference League. However, this match can be the beginning of the new streak. New appointed manager Nuri Sahin will take his first match. Nuri Sahin was assistant manager of Dortmund under Tezic when they reached Champions League final 2 years ago than Nuri Sahin became manager of Dortmund for 27 matches last year. Team consist of high level players, it looks like lovely spot for reaction after bad results and gift for new manager.